Table 2.

Testing scenarios. The estimated number of total incidences, peak capacity requirement of non-ICU and ICU beds, and time to peak.

Scenarios	Total incidences	Requirement at peak		Time to peak in days
		Non-ICU	ICU	Non-ICU	ICU
Base	22.0 ​M	832 k	118 k	192	190
$1/{\mathit{\tau }}_{\mathit{a}}=2$
0.01	21.3 ​M	786 k	111 k	194	192
0.02	20.6 ​M	742 k	105 k	196	195
0.05	18.8 ​M	626 k	87.5 k	202	201
0.10	16.1 ​M	473 k	65.8 k	212	211
0.20	11.9 ​M	273 k	37.6 k	229	227
0.50	4.72 ​M	71.2 k	9.85 k	176	175
$1/{\mathit{\tau }}_{\mathit{a}}=1$
0.01	20.3 ​M	726 k	102 k	197	195
0.02	18.9 ​M	634 k	89.2 k	202	200
0.05	15.1 ​M	423 k	59.3 k	216	215
0.10	10.5 ​M	220 k	30.7 k	233	231
0.20	5.01 ​M	75.6 k	10.5 k	188	186
0.50	1.39 ​M	47.0 k	6.63 k	49	44