Table 3.

Self-isolation scenarios. The estimated number of total incidences, peak capacity requirement of non-ICU and ICU beds, and time to peak.

Scenarios	Total Incidence	Requirement at peak		Time to peak in days
		Non-ICU	ICU	Non-ICU	ICU
Base	22.0 ​M	832 k	118 k	192	190
$1/{\mathit{\tau }}_{\mathit{s}}=2$
0.001	21.8 ​M	822 k	116 k	192	191
0.005	21.2 ​M	783 k	111 k	195	193
0.01	20.5 ​M	734 k	104 k	198	196
0.02	19.1 ​M	641 k	90.4 k	204	202
0.05	14.7 ​M	395 k	55.4 k	224	223
0.10	7.24 ​M	120 k	16.8 k	236	234
$1/{\mathit{\tau }}_{\mathit{s}}=1$
0.001	21.6 ​M	812 k	115 k	193	191
0.005	20.4 ​M	736 k	104 k	197	196
0.01	18.9 ​M	645 k	90.9 k	203	201
0.02	16.0 ​M	480 k	67.5 k	215	214
0.05	7.58 ​M	140 k	19.5 k	237	235
0.10	935 k	50.0 k	7.12 k	48	44