Research objective | Rational | Quantitative Scores | Total average (StDev) | Variance Coefficient | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. Impact on ASF management | 2. Feasibility or practicality | 3. Potential implementation in practice | 4. Short timeframe | 5. Novelty | 6. Priority for risk managers* | ||||
1 Comparative study of monthly ASF herd incidence risk in 2020 between EU member states | |||||||||
Low | Already addressed, though not for all countries | 1.0 | |||||||
Low | Unclear what will be the resulting management measure | 1.0 | |||||||
Low | No rationale reported | 1.0 | |||||||
Medium | Important because pigs are key commercial hosts, but wild boar are not included. | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | Monitoring herd incidence will inform you about stage of epidemic, but does not help much in management decisions on wild boar | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | No rationale reported | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | |||||
High | Apparently, there are not comparative studies among MS | 5.0 | |||||||
High | Current practice in veterinary services | 5.0 | |||||||
High | Should be easy to calculate | 5.0 | |||||||
High | Sound results can be obtained in a year | 5.0 | |||||||
High | This can be easily implemented in the current ASF control measures | 5.0 | |||||||
High | No rationale reported | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | |||||
Average score of experts for criterion ((StDev) | 2.5 (0.9) | 5.0 (0) | 3.0 (1.6) | 5.0 (0) | 3 (1.6) | 5.0 (0) | 3.6 (1.5) | 0.43 | |
2. Harmonised case–control studies in pig herds for seasonal risk factor involving several ASF‐affected countries. | |||||||||
Low | Done for selected countries | 1.0 | |||||||
Low | Only on smaller regional or MS level | 1.0 | |||||||
Medium | This is a costly study, need to probably be based on case–control study in different countries | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | Is already done for selected countries | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | Selection of farms is feasible as well as the study of risk factors, but complexity may be limiting factor | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | No rationale reported | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||||
High | High importance. Knowledge of risk factors will help in preventing them | 5.0 | 5.0 | ||||||
High | Important to avoid introduction of ASF in farms and to estimate seasonal risk | 5.0 | |||||||
High | No similar studies are available among affected countries. Some are available at country level (i.e. Romania) | 5.0 | |||||||
High | The study can lead to sound results in one year in ASF EU affected areas | 5.0 | |||||||
High | Useful to set up biosecurity in different types of farms | 5.0 | |||||||
High | No rationale reported | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | |||||
Average score of experts for criterion (StDev) | 4.5 (0.9) | 3.0 (0) | 4.0 (1) | 4.0 (1) | 2.5 (1.7) | 5.0 (0) | 3.6 (1.3) | 0.36 | |
3. Study of ASF seasonal pattern in association with socio‐cultural activities | |||||||||
Low | Difficult to define a priori what social activities are relevant for AHS persistence/dispersal | 1.0 | |||||||
Low | Only on smaller regional or MS level | 1.0 | |||||||
Low | Very difficult to show relation in only one year. Long‐term studies will be needed | 1.0 | |||||||
Low | No rationale reported | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | ||||
Medium | Costly study, need to probably be based on case–control study in different countries | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | Difficult to implement a field level due to the variety of social activities and to determine its relevancy. Managing of social activities seems also difficult. | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | High importance. Knowledge of risk factors will help in preventing them | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | Just when related to animal movement. The other social activities may have little impact on the spread or persistence of the disease | 3.0 | |||||||
Medium | No rationale reported | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | ||||
High | High importance. Knowledge of risk factors will help in preventing them | 5.0 | |||||||
High | No similar studies are available among affected countries. Some are available at country level (i.e. Romania) | 5.0 | |||||||
High | No rationale reported | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | |||||
Average scores of experts for criterion (StDev) | 3.5 (1.7) | 2.0 (1) | 2.5 (0.9) | 3.0 (1.4) | 3.0 (2) | 3.0 (0) | 2.8 (1.5) | 0.53 |
StDev: standard deviations. Low score = 1 point; Medium score = 3 points; Large = 5 points. *: only one expert attending the working group represented the risk managers and scored Score 6.