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. 2021 Apr 19;19(4):e06550. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2021.6550
Research objective Rational Quantitative Scores Total average (StDev) Variance Coefficient
1. Impact on ASF management 2. Feasibility or practicality 3. Potential implementation in practice 4. Short timeframe 5. Novelty 6. Priority for risk managers*
1 Comparative study of monthly ASF herd incidence risk in 2020 between EU member states
Low Already addressed, though not for all countries 1.0
Low Unclear what will be the resulting management measure 1.0
Low No rationale reported 1.0
Medium Important because pigs are key commercial hosts, but wild boar are not included. 3.0
Medium Monitoring herd incidence will inform you about stage of epidemic, but does not help much in management decisions on wild boar 3.0
Medium No rationale reported 3.0 3.0 3.0
High Apparently, there are not comparative studies among MS 5.0
High Current practice in veterinary services 5.0
High Should be easy to calculate 5.0
High Sound results can be obtained in a year 5.0
High This can be easily implemented in the current ASF control measures 5.0
High No rationale reported 5.0 5.0 5.0
Average score of experts for criterion ((StDev) 2.5 (0.9) 5.0 (0) 3.0 (1.6) 5.0 (0) 3 (1.6) 5.0 (0) 3.6 (1.5) 0.43
2. Harmonised case–control studies in pig herds for seasonal risk factor involving several ASF‐affected countries.
Low Done for selected countries 1.0
Low Only on smaller regional or MS level 1.0
Medium This is a costly study, need to probably be based on case–control study in different countries 3.0
Medium Is already done for selected countries 3.0
Medium Selection of farms is feasible as well as the study of risk factors, but complexity may be limiting factor 3.0
Medium No rationale reported 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
High High importance. Knowledge of risk factors will help in preventing them 5.0 5.0
High Important to avoid introduction of ASF in farms and to estimate seasonal risk 5.0
High No similar studies are available among affected countries. Some are available at country level (i.e. Romania) 5.0
High The study can lead to sound results in one year in ASF EU affected areas 5.0
High Useful to set up biosecurity in different types of farms 5.0
High No rationale reported 5.0 5.0 5.0
Average score of experts for criterion (StDev) 4.5 (0.9) 3.0 (0) 4.0 (1) 4.0 (1) 2.5 (1.7) 5.0 (0) 3.6 (1.3) 0.36
3. Study of ASF seasonal pattern in association with socio‐cultural activities
Low Difficult to define a priori what social activities are relevant for AHS persistence/dispersal 1.0
Low Only on smaller regional or MS level 1.0
Low Very difficult to show relation in only one year. Long‐term studies will be needed 1.0
Low No rationale reported 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Medium Costly study, need to probably be based on case–control study in different countries 3.0
Medium Difficult to implement a field level due to the variety of social activities and to determine its relevancy. Managing of social activities seems also difficult. 3.0
Medium High importance. Knowledge of risk factors will help in preventing them 3.0
Medium Just when related to animal movement. The other social activities may have little impact on the spread or persistence of the disease 3.0
Medium No rationale reported 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
High High importance. Knowledge of risk factors will help in preventing them 5.0
High No similar studies are available among affected countries. Some are available at country level (i.e. Romania) 5.0
High No rationale reported 5.0 5.0 5.0
Average scores of experts for criterion (StDev) 3.5 (1.7) 2.0 (1) 2.5 (0.9) 3.0 (1.4) 3.0 (2) 3.0 (0) 2.8 (1.5) 0.53

StDev: standard deviations. Low score = 1 point; Medium score = 3 points; Large = 5 points. *: only one expert attending the working group represented the risk managers and scored Score 6.