TABLE 5.
Assessment measures for Kenya by period comparing the full birth history (FBH) + summary birth history (SBH) smoothing model (columns 6-9) and the FBH smoothing model (columns 2-5) when leaving out the Kenya 2014 DHS and treating estimates from this survey as the “truth”. For each period, “best” values in each metric are bolded
| FBH |
FBH + SBH |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Bias | MSE | MAE | MAPE | Bias | MSE | MAE | MAPE |
| 1985-1989 | −0.295 | 0.820 | 0.668 | 0.521 | −0.334 | 0.982 | 0.706 | 0.488 |
| 1990-1994 | 0.096 | 0.322 | 0.437 | 0.481 | −0.005 | 0.162 | 0.321 | 0.275 |
| 1995-1999 | 0.064 | 0.321 | 0.412 | 0.463 | −0.017 | 0.170 | 0.308 | 0.255 |
| 2000-2004 | −0.312 | 0.379 | 0.484 | 0.373 | −0.390 | 0.332 | 0.462 | 0.320 |
| 2005-2009 | −0.541 | 0.543 | 0.625 | 0.425 | −0.610 | 0.581 | 0.661 | 0.428 |
| 2010-2014 | −0.353 | 0.361 | 0.453 | 0.322 | −0.343 | 0.335 | 0.462 | 0.341 |
| Mean | −0.224 | 0.458 | 0.513 | 0.431 | −0.283 | 0.426 | 0.487 | 0.351 |