Table 5.

Comparison of PICTURE and the EDI in patients testing positive for COVID-19.

Granularity and analytic		AUROCa (95% CI)	P value (AUROC)	AUPRCb (95% CI)	P value (AUPRC)	Event rate (%)
Observation							3.20
	PICTUREc	0.849 (0.820-0.878)	vs EDId: <.001 vs NEWSe: <.001	0.173 (0.116-0.211)	vs EDI: .002 vs NEWS: <.001
	EDI	0.803 (0.772-0.838)	vs NEWS: <.001	0.131 (0.087-0.163)	vs NEWS: .002
	NEWS	0.746 (0.708-0.783)	N/Af	0.098 (0.066-0.122)	N/A
Encounter (n=607)							20.6
	PICTURE	0.895 (0.868-0.928)	vs EDI: <.001 vs NEWS: <.001	0.665 (0.590-0.743)	vs EDI: <.001 vs NEWS: <.001
	EDI	0.802 (0.762-0.848)	vs NEWS: .05	0.510 (0.438-0.588)	vs NEWS: .02
	NEWS	0.773 (0.732-0.818)	N/A	0.441 (0.364-0.510)	N/A

^aAUROC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

^bAUPRC: area under the precision-recall curve.

^cPICTURE: Predicting Intensive Care Transfers and Other Unforeseen Events.

^dEDI: Epic Deterioration Index.

^eNEWS: National Early Warning Score.

^fN/A: not applicable.