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. 2021 Apr 21;7(4):e20699. doi: 10.2196/20699

Table 2.

COVID-19 maximum exponential growth patterns per population and time period by country or region from April 7 to May 1, 2020. The y and t data shown are for May 1, 2020. Data source: Worldometer [61].

Country y t R



April 7 April 13 May 1
Worldwidea 60,000 99 675.67 886.07↑b 606.06↓b
Europea 30,000 91 410.95 379.74↓ 329.67↓
Italy 4000 51 90.90 78.43↓ 78.43=
South Korea 250 20 12.5 12.5=b 12.5=
China 1500 28 53.57 53.57= 53.57=
Iran 2000 46 44.44 43.47↓ 43.47=
Spaina 5000 55 131.57 121.95↓ 90.90↓
France 4000 45 138.88 100↓ 88.88↓
United Statesa 30,000 53 625 540.54↓ 566.03↑
Brazila 5000 51 25 28.57↑ 98.03↑
Germany 4000 41 105.26 100↓ 97.56↓
Russiaa 5000 46 15.62 27.02↑ 108.69↑
United Kingdoma 5000 58 64.51 69.64↑ 86.20↑
Singaporea 500 57 0.96 1.75↑ 8.77↑
Portugal 500 49 15.15 13.15↓ 10.20↓
Indiaa 1000 58 8.33 9.43↑ 17.24↑
Canadaa 1500 48 27.77 24.39↓ 31.25↑
Japana 500 67 3.92 7.14↑ 7.46↑
Swedena 500 58 5.71 0.65↓ 8.62↑
Argentinaa 100 57 1.51 2.56↑ 1.75↓
Chilea 500 52 10 8.33↓ 9.61↑
Saudi Arabiaa 1000 54 3 4.16↑ 18.51↑
United Arab Emiratesa 400 70 4.34 5.76↑ 5.71↓
Egypta 200 62 1.31 2.27↑ 3.22↑
Pakistana 500 53 3.44 5.71↑ 9.43↑

aNote that at the time of this writing, some countries were at their maximum exponential infection dissemination (different epidemic phases). For these countries, no final exponential score had been reached yet. However, this does not count for future predictions.

b↑, ↓, and = denote increase, decrease, and no change, respectively.