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. 2021 Jan 3;187(1):187–196. doi: 10.1007/s10549-020-06042-1

Table 2.

Propensity score-weighted Cox proportional hazards models

T1 (diagnosis → iIBC ≤ 5) HR (95% CI) T2 (diagnosis → iIBC > 5) HR (95% CI) T3 (diagnosis → cIBC) HR (95% CI) T4 (diagnosis → death) HR (95% CI) T5 (iIBC ≤ 5 → death) HR (95% CI) T6 (iIBC > 5 → death) HR (95% CI) T7 (cIBC → death) HR (95% CI)
Local treatment BCS+RT REF REF REF REF REF REF REF
Mastectomy 0.50 (0.39–0.65) 0.21 (0.16–0.26) 1.18 (1.07–1.31) 1.14 (1.08–1.20) 1.30 (0.74–2.30) 1.31 (0.68–2.52) 0.96 (0.75–1.23)
BCS 3.14 (2.70–3.67) 1.35 (1.20–1.53) 1.05 (0.95–1.16) 1.19 (1.13–1.25) 1.05 (0.70–1.58) 0.99 (0.70–1.39) 1.01 (0.78–1.23)
No local treatment 4.26 (3.12–5.81) 1.69 (1.19–2.41) 1.17 (0.87–1.57) 1.55 (1.34–1.78) 3.32 (1.31–8.45) 1.01 (0.38–2.70) 1.81 (1.06–3.09)
Year of diagnosis 1.02 (0.98–1.05) 0.97 (0.94–1.01) 1.00 (0.98–1.01) 1.00 (0.99–1.01) 1.03 (0.97–1.09) 0.98 (0.86 –1.12) 1.02 (0.97–1.07)
Age at DCIS diagnosis 50–69 REF REF REF REF REF REF REF
40–49 1.86 (1.34–2.57) 1.37 (1.02–1.83) 0.76 (0.63–0.92) 0.31 (0.24–0.39) 1.29 (0.55–3.07) 1.20 (0.50–2.85) 1.23 (0.68–2.23)
70–74 1.01 (0.59–1.74) 1.20 (0.74–1.95) 1.40 (1.09–1.80) 3.23 (2.84–3.68) 4.97 (2.08–11.88) 2.44 (0.98–6.05) 2.08 (1.19–3.64)
75–79 0.95 (0.61–1.46) 0.97 (0.75–1.25) 1.02 (0.76–1.37) 5.96 (5.28–6.72) 4.46 (2.11–9.44) 4.25 (2.28–7.90) 2.96 (1.54–5.68)
≥ 80 1.14 (0.80–1.63) 0.62 (0.44–0.87) 1.06 (0.74–1.51) 10.84 (9.78–12.02) 6.24 (3.26–11.93) 6.76 (3.12–14.64) 5.86 (3.73–9.22)
Grade 2 REF REF REF REF REF REF REF
1 0.87 (0.58–1.32) 1.04 (0.74–1.44) 0.84 (0.69–1.02) 1.13 (1.02–1.24) 0.72 (0.29–1.78) 0.94 (0.41–2.14) 1.26 (0.82–1.93)
3 1.42 (1.05–1.91) 1.00 (0.73–1.38) 0.82 (0.68–1.02) 1.10 (0.99–1.22) 1.23 (0.66–2.32) 1.29 (0.69–2.42) 0.70 (0.45–1.09)
Race Caucasian REF REF REF REF REF REF REF
African American 2.52 (1.83–3.48) 1.79 (1.25–2.55) 1.12 (0.89–1.42) 1.37 (1.21–1.54) 1.47 (0.71–3.07) 1.51 (0.68–3.39) 0.97 (0.58–1.62)
Other 1.46 (0.84–2.55) 1.54 (1.00–2.36) 1.07 (0.82–1.39) 0.75 (0.64–0.88) 0.46 (0.15–1.40) 1.77 (0.64–4.95) 0.66 (0.26–1.69)
Lesion size < 2 cm REF REF REF REF REF REF REF
≥ 2 cm 1.66 (1.23–2.25) 1.38 (1.00–2.36) 1.08 (0.90–1.30) 1.18 (1.06–1.30) 1.75 (1.02–3.01) 1.80 (0.82–3.93) 1.28 (0.85–1.91)
ER status Negative REF REF REF REF REF REF REF
Positive 0.76 (0.53–1.10) 1.51 (0.98–2.33) 1.13 (0.87–1.46) 0.94 (0.83–1.06) 0.40 (0.19–0.85) 0.51 (0.29–0.90) 0.67 (0.36–1.25)

CI confidence interval, cIBC contralateral invasive breast cancer, DCIS ductal carcinoma in-situ, BCS breast conserving surgery, HR hazard ratio, iIBC ipsilateral invasive breast cancer, IQR inter-quartile range, ER estrogen receptor, REF reference category, RT radiotherapy