Table 6.
Forecasting of Daily Total COVID-19 Confirmed Cases and Total Recovered Patients in Ethiopia for the Next 60 Days According to ARIMA Models with 95% CI
| Date | Total Confirmed Cases Forecast Using ARIMA (0,1,5) | 95% C.I for Total Confirmed Cases ARIMA (0,1,5) | Total Recovered Patients Forecast Using ARIMA (2,1,3) | 95% C.I for TOTAL Recovered Patients ARIMA (2,1,3) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lb95 | Ub95 | Lb95 | Ub95 | |||
| 01-Sep-2020 | 1318 | 1106 | 1529 | 579 | 451 | 707 |
| 02-Sep-2020 | 1282 | 1069 | 1494 | 475 | 340 | 610 |
| 03-Sep-2020 | 1357 | 1123 | 1591 | 534 | 389 | 679 |
| 04-Sep-2020 | 1306 | 1057 | 1555 | 607 | 450 | 764 |
| 05-Sep-2020 | 1214 | 938 | 1490 | 510 | 346 | 674 |
| 06-Sep-2020 | 1221 | 895 | 1546 | 509 | 338 | 679 |
| 07-Sep-2020 | 1227 | 859 | 1595 | 613 | 432 | 794 |
| 08-Sep-2020 | 1234 | 828 | 1640 | 555 | 367 | 744 |
| 09-Sep-2020 | 1241 | 800 | 1682 | 498 | 305 | 691 |
| 10-Sep-2020 | 1248 | 774 | 1721 | 600 | 398 | 802 |
| 11-Sep-2020 | 1254 | 751 | 1758 | 599 | 390 | 809 |
| 12-Sep-2020 | 1261 | 729 | 1793 | 508 | 294 | 722 |
| 13-Sep-2020 | 1268 | 709 | 1827 | 575 | 355 | 796 |
| 14-Sep-2020 | 1275 | 690 | 1860 | 630 | 402 | 859 |
| 15-Sep-2020 | 1282 | 672 | 1891 | 537 | 303 | 770 |
| 16-Sep-2020 | 1288 | 655 | 1922 | 551 | 313 | 789 |
| 17-Sep-2020 | 1295 | 639 | 1952 | 642 | 396 | 888 |
| 18-Sep-2020 | 1302 | 623 | 1981 | 578 | 327 | 828 |
| 19-Sep-2020 | 1309 | 609 | 2009 | 537 | 283 | 792 |
| 20-Sep-2020 | 1315 | 595 | 2036 | 635 | 373 | 896 |
| 21-Sep-2020 | 1322 | 581 | 2063 | 620 | 353 | 887 |
| 22-Sep-2020 | 1329 | 568 | 2090 | 542 | 271 | 812 |
| 23-Sep-2020 | 1336 | 556 | 2116 | 615 | 339 | 891 |
| 24-Sep-2020 | 1343 | 544 | 2141 | 653 | 371 | 936 |
| 25-Sep-2020 | 1349 | 532 | 2166 | 565 | 279 | 851 |
| 26-Sep-2020 | 1356 | 521 | 2191 | 592 | 302 | 882 |
| 27-Sep-2020 | 1363 | 510 | 2215 | 670 | 373 | 966 |
| 28-Sep-2020 | 1370 | 500 | 2239 | 602 | 301 | 902 |
| 29-Sep-2020 | 1376 | 490 | 2263 | 577 | 273 | 881 |
| 30-Sep-2020 | 1383 | 480 | 2286 | 668 | 359 | 978 |
| 01-Oct-2020 | 1390 | 471 | 2309 | 642 | 328 | 956 |
| 02-Oct-2020 | 1397 | 462 | 2332 | 577 | 260 | 894 |
| 03-Oct-2020 | 1404 | 453 | 2354 | 653 | 330 | 975 |
| 04-Oct-2020 | 1410 | 444 | 2376 | 676 | 349 | 1004 |
| 05-Oct-2020 | 1417 | 436 | 2398 | 595 | 265 | 925 |
| 06-Oct-2020 | 1424 | 428 | 2420 | 632 | 298 | 966 |
| 07-Oct-2020 | 1431 | 420 | 2442 | 697 | 357 | 1036 |
| 08-Oct-2020 | 1437 | 412 | 2463 | 627 | 284 | 970 |
| 09-Oct-2020 | 1444 | 404 | 2484 | 616 | 270 | 962 |
| 10-Oct-2020 | 1451 | 397 | 2505 | 700 | 349 | 1051 |
| 11-Oct-2020 | 1458 | 390 | 2526 | 665 | 310 | 1020 |
| 12-Oct-2020 | 1465 | 383 | 2546 | 613 | 255 | 971 |
| 13-Oct-2020 | 1471 | 376 | 2567 | 689 | 327 | 1051 |
| 14-Oct-2020 | 1478 | 369 | 2587 | 700 | 333 | 1066 |
| 15-Oct-2020 | 1485 | 363 | 2607 | 626 | 257 | 996 |
| 16-Oct-2020 | 1492 | 357 | 2627 | 671 | 298 | 1044 |
| 17-Oct-2020 | 1498 | 350 | 2646 | 723 | 345 | 1100 |
| 18-Oct-2020 | 1505 | 344 | 2666 | 654 | 273 | 1034 |
| 19-Oct-2020 | 1512 | 339 | 2685 | 655 | 272 | 1039 |
| 20-Oct-2020 | 1519 | 333 | 2705 | 730 | 342 | 1119 |
| 21-Oct-2020 | 1526 | 327 | 2724 | 689 | 297 | 1080 |
| 22-Oct-2020 | 1532 | 322 | 2743 | 650 | 255 | 1044 |
| 23-Oct-2020 | 1539 | 316 | 2762 | 724 | 326 | 1123 |
| 24-Oct-2020 | 1546 | 311 | 2781 | 723 | 321 | 1125 |
| 25-Oct-2020 | 1553 | 306 | 2799 | 659 | 254 | 1064 |
| 26-Oct-2020 | 1559 | 301 | 2818 | 709 | 301 | 1118 |
| 27-Oct-2020 | 1566 | 296 | 2836 | 748 | 336 | 1161 |
| 28-Oct-2020 | 1573 | 291 | 2855 | 682 | 267 | 1097 |
| 29-Oct-2020 | 1580 | 286 | 2873 | 694 | 276 | 1112 |
| 30-Oct-2020 | 1587 | 282 | 2891 | 760 | 338 | 1182 |
| 31-Oct-2020 | 1593 | 277 | 2909 | 714 | 289 | 1139 |
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; Lb, lower boundary; Ub, upper boundary.