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. 2021 Apr 15;10(4):480. doi: 10.3390/pathogens10040480

Table 4.

ARIMA models for cefepime-resistant A. baumannii (A) and cefepime use (B). Dynamic regression model for the association between cefepime-resistant A. baumannii and hospital cefepime use (C).

Estimate Model Parameter Standard Error p-Value
A. A. baumannii resistance
ar1 −0.677 0.129 <0.001
ar2 −0.710 0.122 <0.001
AIC 100.56
R2 0.580
B. Cefepime use (in DDD/100 PD)
ar1 −0.463 0.137 <0.001
ar2 −0.466 0.133 <0.001
AIC 139.03
R2 0.619
C. Impact of cefepime use on A. baumannii resistance
ar1 −0.576 0.210 0.006
ar2 −0.559 0.222 0.011
cef1 0.865 0.395 0.028
AIC 85.53
R2 0.660

Key: AIC, the estimated Akaike Information Criterion value for the model; ar1, autoregression term with a lag of one month of the ARIMA model; ar2, autoregressive component with lag equal to two months of the ARIMA model; cef1, cefepime use of one month with lag time of one month; R2, the coefficient of determination of the model, DDD, Defined Daily Dose; PD, Patient days.