Table 4.
Risk Score | Cutoff Point (% mortality) | Probability | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Youden Index (J) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
30-day mortality | ||||||
Overall Cohort | STS | 7.56 | 0.0416 | 66.7 | 84.6 | 0.512 |
MAGGIC | 17.51 | 0.0470 | 75.0 | 65.2 | 0.402 | |
EuroSCORE II | 4.79 | 0.0405 | 83.3 | 53.4 | 0.368 | |
1-year mortality | ||||||
Overall Cohort | STS | 14.84 | 0.1429 | 40.0 | 96.2 | 0.362 |
MAGGIC | 17.50 | 0.0802 | 70.0 | 66.1 | 0.361 | |
EuroSCORE II | 4.29 | 0.0672 | 75.0 | 49.4 | 0.244 |
Abbreviations: AVR, open aortic valve replacement; EuroSCORE II, European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation II; MAGGIC, Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure; MVR, open mitral valve repair/replacement; STS, Society of Thoracic Surgeons.