Table 2.

Selection of the best model.

	Model I		Model II		Model III		Model IV
	χ2	P	χ2	P	χ2	P	χ2	P
Both years	5.85	0.12	21.47	< 0.0001	29.54	< 0.0001	65.17	< 0.0001
2017	3.39	0.33	13.65	0.003	20.59	0.0001	39.42	< 0.0001
2018	3.13	0.37	8.58	0.035	9.69	0.02	26.69	< 0.0001
2017 M600	1.79	0.62	6.16	0.104	11.17	0.01	19.38	0.0002
2017 B400	2.24	0.52	7.98	0.046	9.89	0.02	20.46	0.0001
2018 M600	4.98	0.083	6.89	0.032	4.23	0.120	14.48	0.0007
2018 M1000	4.24	0.236	7.75	0.051	21.88	< 0.0001	19.03	0.0002

Observed transition probabilities were compared against predicted values for each of the four models of patch attractiveness (defined in the text). The Chi-square value and associated probability, P value, are presented here. A model with a probability > 0.05 (bolded) indicates a good fit to the empirical data.