Table 3:
Shown are 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles of relative change in the pandemic situation and percentages of inbound travelers from different groups of countries for different opening scenarios. G denotes all countries; G1, G2, and G3 denotes countries in Group 1, 2, and 3, respectively. RelU is the relative change in the number of cases (including detected and undetected), and RelA is the relative change in the number of cases that were confirmed.
| 2019 data | 2020 data | Fully closed | Proposed | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | RU | (0.28, 0.31) | (0.27, 0.30) | (0.26, 0.29) | (0.26, 0.29) |
| RA | (0.29, 0.31) | (0.28, 0.30) | (0.27, 0.29) | (0.27, 0.29) | |
| Inbound travel | 100% | 33% | 0% | 58% | |
| G1 | RU | (0.05, 0.06) | (0.03, 0.04) | (0.02, 0.03) | (0.02, 0.03) |
| RA | (0.04, 0.05) | (0.03, 0.04) | (0.02, 0.03) | (0.02, 0.03) | |
| Inbound travel | 100% | 29% | 0% | 55% | |
| G2 | RU | (0.24, 0.27) | (0.23, 0.26) | (0.22, 0.26) | (0.22, 0.26) |
| RA | (0.25, 0.28) | (0.24, 0.27) | (0.24, 0.27) | (0.24, 0.27) | |
| Inbound travel | 100% | 37% | 0% | 66% | |
| G3 | RU | (0.81, 0.85) | (0.80, 0.84) | (0.80, 0.84) | (0.79, 0.84) |
| RA | (0.81, 0.85) | (0.81, 0.84) | (0.81, 0.84) | (0.80, 0.84) | |
| Inbound travel | 100% | 36% | 0% | 54% |