Table 3.

Errors associated with ignoring the existence of subnotification in the epidemic cycle.

Subnotification	Max error (%)	Min error (%)	Days until ≤5%	Error (%) at peak day
3x	5.34	0.97	2	2.64
5x	7.73	1.41	12	3.85
10x	10.87	2.02	25	5.46
15x	12.66	2.37	33	6.39
20x	13.91	2.62	39	7.05
25x	14.87	2.81	43	7.55
30x	15.64	2.97	47	7.96
40x	16.84	3.21	52	8.60