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. 2021 Mar 18;2(1):e22617. doi: 10.2196/22617

Table 6.

Errors associated with ignoring the existence of subnotification in the epidemic cycle for Italy.

Subnotification Max error (%) Min error (%) Days until ≤5% Error (%) at peak day
3x 3.85 0.85 N/Aa 2.09
5x 5.59 1.25 4 3.05
10x 7.89 1.78 17 4.33
15x 9.22 2.09 25 5.07
20x 10.15 2.31 31 5.60
25x 10.86 2.48 35 6.00
30x 11.44 2.62 39 6.33
40x 12.34 2.84 44 6.85

aN/A: not applicable.