5. Heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses for the combination of alpha‐foetoprotein (AFP) (cut‐off 20 ng/mL) and ultrasonography (US).
Subgroup | N of studies | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | P value |
All | 6 | 96% (88% to 98%) | 85% (73% to 93%) | ‐ |
case‐control | 0 | ‐ | ||
cross‐sectional | 6 | 96% (88% to 98%) | 85% (73% to 93%) | |
prospective | 3 | 91% (84% to 95%) | 91% (75% to 97%) | 0.578 |
retrospective | 3 | 97% (83% to 99%) | 77% (66% to 85%) | |
before 2000 | 2 | 95% (44% to 100%) | 81% (69% to 89%) | 0.703 |
after 2000 | 4 | 96% (89% to 99%) | 87% (69% to 95%) | |
cirrhosis > 10% | 6 | 96% (88% to 98%) | 85% (73% to 93%) | ‐ |
cirrhosis < 10% | 0 | |||
Europe | 1 | 100% (83% to 100%) | 74% (67% to 80%) | § |
America | 2 | 79% (54% to 94%) 90% (77% to 97%) |
87% (79% to 94%) 83% (79% to 87%) |
|
Asia | 3 | 99% (98% to 100%) 91% (81% to 96%) 94% (71% to 100%) |
68% (66% to 71%) 98% (96% to 99%) 82% (81% to 84%) |
|
Africa | 0 | |||
HCC prevalence < 10% | 3 | 96% (78% to 99%) | 80% (76% to 84%) | 0.100 |
HCC prevalence > 10% | 3 | 95% (79% to 99%) | 90% (68% to 97%) | |
clinical suspect | 1 | 79% (54% to 94%) | 87% (78% to 93%) | 0.289 |
surveillance | 5 | 97% (92% to 99%) | 85% (70% to 93%) | |
HCC resectable < 20% | 0 | ‐ | ||
HCC resectable > 20% | 4 | 95% (84% to 99%) | 88% (72% to 96%) | |
biopsy | 1 | 99% (98% to 100%) | 68% (66% to 71%) | § |
OLT | 1 | 79% (54% to 94%) | 87% (78% to 93%) | |
other reference standard | 4 | 93% (86% to 97%) | 88% (72% to 95%) | |
viral < 80% | 1 | 79% (54% to 94%) | 87% (79% to 94%) | * |
viral > 80% | 3 | 99% (98% to 100%) 91% (81% to 96%) 94% (71% to 100%) |
68% (66% to 71%) 98% (96% to 99%) 82% (81% to 84%) |
|
Child A < 50% | 1 | 100% (83% to 100%) | 74% (67% to 80%) | *§ |
Child A > 50% | 2 | 99% (98% to 100%) 91% (81% to 96%) |
68% (66% to 71%) 98% (96% to 99%) |
|
US positivity criteria predefined | 2 | 90% (77% to 97%) 94% (71% to 100%) |
83% (79% to 87%) 82% (81% to 84%) |
§ |
Full text | 6 | 96% (88% to 98%) | 85% (73% to 93%) | ‐ |
* Sparse and missing data. Meta‐analysis not conducted
§ Model failed to converge
OLT: orthotopic liver transplantation; HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma; US: ultrasonography