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. 2021 Apr 15;2021(4):CD013346. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013346.pub2

5. Heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses for the combination of alpha‐foetoprotein (AFP) (cut‐off 20 ng/mL) and ultrasonography (US).

Subgroup N of studies Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI) P value
All 6 96% (88% to 98%) 85% (73% to 93%)
         
case‐control 0    
cross‐sectional 6 96% (88% to 98%) 85% (73% to 93%)
         
prospective 3 91% (84% to 95%) 91% (75% to 97%) 0.578
retrospective 3 97% (83% to 99%) 77% (66% to 85%)
         
before 2000 2 95% (44% to 100%) 81% (69% to 89%) 0.703
after 2000 4 96% (89% to 99%) 87% (69% to 95%)
         
cirrhosis > 10% 6 96% (88% to 98%) 85% (73% to 93%)
cirrhosis < 10% 0    
         
Europe 1 100% (83% to 100%) 74% (67% to 80%) §
America 2 79% (54% to 94%)
90% (77% to 97%)
87% (79% to 94%)
83% (79% to 87%)
Asia 3 99% (98% to 100%)
91% (81% to 96%)
94% (71% to 100%)
68% (66% to 71%)
98% (96% to 99%)
82% (81% to 84%)
Africa 0    
         
HCC prevalence < 10% 3 96% (78% to 99%) 80% (76% to 84%) 0.100
HCC prevalence > 10% 3 95% (79% to 99%) 90% (68% to 97%)
         
clinical suspect 1 79% (54% to 94%) 87% (78% to 93%) 0.289
surveillance 5 97% (92% to 99%) 85% (70% to 93%)
         
HCC resectable < 20% 0    
HCC resectable > 20% 4 95% (84% to 99%) 88% (72% to 96%)
         
biopsy 1 99% (98% to 100%) 68% (66% to 71%) §
OLT 1 79% (54% to 94%) 87% (78% to 93%)
other reference standard 4 93% (86% to 97%) 88% (72% to 95%)
         
viral < 80% 1 79% (54% to 94%) 87% (79% to 94%) *
viral > 80% 3 99% (98% to 100%)
91% (81% to 96%)
94% (71% to 100%)
68% (66% to 71%)
98% (96% to 99%)
82% (81% to 84%)
         
Child A < 50% 1 100% (83% to 100%) 74% (67% to 80%)
Child A > 50% 2 99% (98% to 100%)
91% (81% to 96%)
68% (66% to 71%)
98% (96% to 99%)
         
US positivity criteria predefined 2 90% (77% to 97%)
94% (71% to 100%)
83% (79% to 87%)
82% (81% to 84%)
§
         
Full text 6 96% (88% to 98%) 85% (73% to 93%)

* Sparse and missing data. Meta‐analysis not conducted

§ Model failed to converge

OLT: orthotopic liver transplantation; HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma; US: ultrasonography