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. 2021 Apr 15;2021(4):CD013346. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013346.pub2

Sherman 1995.

Study characteristics
Patient Sampling Authors have carried out a prospective study of HBV carriers in the greater Toronto area, using serum AFP and US as the screening tests for HCC. Individuals who tested positively for hepatitis B surface antigen for more than 6 months and who were over the age of 18 years were eligible. Between February 1989 and March 1994, 1069 chronic hepatitis B (CHB) carriers were referred to the Liver Cancer Screening Program. A total of 13 participants with HCC were identified. 538 participants were randomised to be screened with US and AFP (data for accuracy of US only is provided in this cohort).
Age range: 27‐51. Males 65%
Patient characteristics and setting  
Index tests AFP: AFP assay (normal value < 5 ng/mL) was also performed by commercial kit (Abbott Laboratories). Cut‐off prespecified at 20 ng/mL. US: patients who were randomised to US had high‐resolution real‐time US examination of the upper abdomen. US criteria for further evaluation: liver mass
Target condition and reference standard(s) HCC: the diagnosis of HCC was confirmed by histological examination of tissue obtained from liver biopsy or surgical resection, or the combination of diagnostically increased AFP plus typical features on ultrasonography or computed tomography.
Flow and timing No information on interval between index test and reference standard. In 11 women (10%), the increase in serum AFP levels was caused by pregnancy. These were excluded from specificity and sensitivity calculations because there was no uncertainty about the cause in these cases.
Comparative  
Notes No information on conflicts of interest
Methodological quality
Item Authors' judgement Risk of bias Applicability concerns
DOMAIN 1: Patient Selection
Was a consecutive or random sample of patients enrolled? Yes    
Was a case‐control design avoided? Yes    
Did the study avoid inappropriate exclusions? Yes    
Could the selection of patients have introduced bias?   Low risk  
Are there concerns that the included patients and setting do not match the review question?     Low concern
DOMAIN 2: Index Test (AFP)
Were the index test results interpreted without knowledge of the results of the reference standard? Yes    
If a threshold was used, was it pre‐specified? Yes    
Could the conduct or interpretation of the index test have introduced bias?   Low risk  
Are there concerns that the index test, its conduct, or interpretation differ from the review question?     Low concern
DOMAIN 2: Index Test (US+AFP)
DOMAIN 2: Index Test (US)
Were the index test results interpreted without knowledge of the results of the reference standard? Yes    
If a threshold was used, was it pre‐specified? Yes    
Could the conduct or interpretation of the index test have introduced bias?   Low risk  
Are there concerns that the index test, its conduct, or interpretation differ from the review question?     Low concern
DOMAIN 3: Reference Standard
Is the reference standards likely to correctly classify the target condition? No    
Were the reference standard results interpreted without knowledge of the results of the index tests? No    
Could the reference standard, its conduct, or its interpretation have introduced bias?   High risk  
Are there concerns that the target condition as defined by the reference standard does not match the question?     Low concern
DOMAIN 4: Flow and Timing
Was there an appropriate interval between index test and reference standard? Unclear    
Did all patients receive the same reference standard? No    
Were all patients included in the analysis? No    
Could the patient flow have introduced bias?   High risk