TABLE 1.
Input | Base-case value | Range | Distribution | References |
---|---|---|---|---|
Population event rates, % | ||||
Non-fatal MI | 1.7 | Age dependent | NA | Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019) |
Non-fatal IS | 0.9 | Age dependent | NA | Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019) |
Cardiovascular death | 2.2 | Age dependent | NA | Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019) |
Non-cardiovascular death | 0.9 | Age dependent | NA | Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019) |
Therapeutic effect based on clinical endpoints, HR | ||||
Non-fatal MI | 0.86 | 0.77–0.96 | Log normal | Schwartz et al. (2018) |
Non-fatal IS | 0.73 | 0.57–0.93 | Log normal | Schwartz et al. (2018) |
Cardiovascular death | 0.88 | 0.74–1.05 a | Log normal | Schwartz et al. (2018) |
Therapeutic effect based on LDL-C reduction, RR | ||||
Non-fatal MI | 0.57 | 0.53–0.63 | Log normal | Han et al. (2020), Baigent et al. (2010) |
Non-fatal IS | 0.66 | 0.59–0.75 | Log normal | Han et al. (2020), Baigent et al. (2010) |
Cardiovascular death | 0.77 | 0.71–0.83 | Log normal | Han et al. (2020), Baigent et al. (2010) |
Annual cost of drugs, CNY | ||||
Alirocumab | ||||
Full list price | 51,532 | NA | NA | Calculated |
Discounted net price | 34,355 | NA | NA | Calculated |
Ezetimibe | 2,827 | NA | NA | Calculated |
Cost of cardiovascular events, CNY b | ||||
Initial event-free | 8,344 | 6,258–10,430 | Log normal | Fu et al. (2020) |
Non-fatal MI | 71,030 | 53,272–88,787 | Log normal | Wang et al. (2015) |
Post-MI | 8,344 | 6,258–10,430 | Log normal | Fu et al. (2020) |
Non-fatal IS | 22,342 | 16,756–27,927 | Log normal | Yin et al. (2018) |
Post-IS | 8,463 | 6,347–10,578 | Log normal | Fu et al. (2020) |
Death due to MI | 87,756 | 65,817–109,695 | Log normal | Wang et al. (2015) |
Death due to stroke | 59,025 | 44,269–73,781 | Log normal | Yin et al. (2018) |
Cardiovascular death c | 77,811 | 58,358–97,263 | Log normal | Wang et al. (2015), Yin et al. (2018) |
Non-cardiovascular death | 0 | NA | NA | NA |
Quality of life d | ||||
Initial event-free | 0.824 | 0.800–0.848 | β | Matza et al. (2015) |
Non-fatal MI | 0.672 | 0.625–0.719 | β | Matza et al. (2015) |
Post-MI | 0.824 | 0.800–0.848 | β | Matza et al. (2015) |
Non-fatal IS | 0.327 | 0.264–0.390 | β | Matza et al. (2015) |
Post-IS | 0.524 | 0.472–0.576 | β | Matza et al. (2015) |
Injection site adverse reactions | −0.0003 | −0.002-0 | β | Khazeni et al. (2009) |
CNY, Chinese Yuan; HR, hazard ratio; IS, ischemic stroke; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; MI, myocardial infarction; NA, not applicable; RR, relative risk.
There was numerical but not significant reduction in cardiovascular mortality.
All costs varied by ± 25% in the sensitivity analysis because confidence intervals were not available from the primary data sources and are presented in 2019 CNY.
Cost of cardiovascular death was the weighted average cost of fatal MI and fatal stroke.
Utility values varied by 95% confidence intervals in the sensitivity analysis.