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. 2021 Apr 14;12:648244. doi: 10.3389/fphar.2021.648244

TABLE 1.

Key input parameters.

Input Base-case value Range Distribution References
Population event rates, %
 Non-fatal MI 1.7 Age dependent NA Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019)
 Non-fatal IS 0.9 Age dependent NA Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019)
 Cardiovascular death 2.2 Age dependent NA Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019)
 Non-cardiovascular death 0.9 Age dependent NA Dreyer et al. (2019), National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (2019)
Therapeutic effect based on clinical endpoints, HR
 Non-fatal MI 0.86 0.77–0.96 Log normal Schwartz et al. (2018)
 Non-fatal IS 0.73 0.57–0.93 Log normal Schwartz et al. (2018)
 Cardiovascular death 0.88 0.74–1.05 a Log normal Schwartz et al. (2018)
Therapeutic effect based on LDL-C reduction, RR
 Non-fatal MI 0.57 0.53–0.63 Log normal Han et al. (2020), Baigent et al. (2010)
 Non-fatal IS 0.66 0.59–0.75 Log normal Han et al. (2020), Baigent et al. (2010)
 Cardiovascular death 0.77 0.71–0.83 Log normal Han et al. (2020), Baigent et al. (2010)
Annual cost of drugs, CNY
 Alirocumab
  Full list price 51,532 NA NA Calculated
  Discounted net price 34,355 NA NA Calculated
 Ezetimibe 2,827 NA NA Calculated
Cost of cardiovascular events, CNY b
 Initial event-free 8,344 6,258–10,430 Log normal Fu et al. (2020)
 Non-fatal MI 71,030 53,272–88,787 Log normal Wang et al. (2015)
 Post-MI 8,344 6,258–10,430 Log normal Fu et al. (2020)
 Non-fatal IS 22,342 16,756–27,927 Log normal Yin et al. (2018)
 Post-IS 8,463 6,347–10,578 Log normal Fu et al. (2020)
 Death due to MI 87,756 65,817–109,695 Log normal Wang et al. (2015)
 Death due to stroke 59,025 44,269–73,781 Log normal Yin et al. (2018)
 Cardiovascular death c 77,811 58,358–97,263 Log normal Wang et al. (2015), Yin et al. (2018)
 Non-cardiovascular death 0 NA NA NA
Quality of life d
 Initial event-free 0.824 0.800–0.848 β Matza et al. (2015)
 Non-fatal MI 0.672 0.625–0.719 β Matza et al. (2015)
 Post-MI 0.824 0.800–0.848 β Matza et al. (2015)
 Non-fatal IS 0.327 0.264–0.390 β Matza et al. (2015)
 Post-IS 0.524 0.472–0.576 β Matza et al. (2015)
 Injection site adverse reactions −0.0003 −0.002-0 β Khazeni et al. (2009)

CNY, Chinese Yuan; HR, hazard ratio; IS, ischemic stroke; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; MI, myocardial infarction; NA, not applicable; RR, relative risk.

a

There was numerical but not significant reduction in cardiovascular mortality.

b

All costs varied by ± 25% in the sensitivity analysis because confidence intervals were not available from the primary data sources and are presented in 2019 CNY.

c

Cost of cardiovascular death was the weighted average cost of fatal MI and fatal stroke.

d

Utility values varied by 95% confidence intervals in the sensitivity analysis.