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. 2021 Apr 29;786:147398. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.147398

Table 2.

Correlation of normalised viral concentration/viral load to epidemiological outcomes (7-day rolling average) for the entire study period (weeks 23–44) and the rising phase of the second wave (weeks 23–40).

Weighted average
Viral load
Same week
r2
Next week r2 Same week
r2
Next week r2
23–44 weeks
Active cases 0,421⁎⁎ 0,462⁎⁎⁎ 0,555⁎⁎⁎ 0,589⁎⁎⁎
Daily new cases 0,575⁎⁎⁎ 0,433⁎⁎⁎ 0,670⁎⁎⁎ 0,522⁎⁎⁎
Hospitalised cases 0,242 0,250 0,351⁎⁎ 0,363⁎⁎
Deaths 0,076 0,119 0,187 0,235



23–40 weeks
Active cases 0,514⁎⁎⁎ 0,645⁎⁎⁎ 0,589⁎⁎⁎ 0,697⁎⁎⁎
Daily new cases 0,720⁎⁎⁎ 0,693⁎⁎⁎ 0,716⁎⁎⁎ 0,665⁎⁎⁎
Hospitalised cases 0,222 0,347 0,278 0,397⁎⁎
Deaths 0,145 0,560 0,246 0,653

p < 0.05.

⁎⁎

p < 0.01.

⁎⁎⁎

p < 0.001.