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. 2021 Apr 28;78(7):1–9. doi: 10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2021.0493

Table 2. Areas Under the Curve (95% CIs), Overall and Within Racial/Ethnic Subgroups, of Suicide Prediction Modelsa.

Race/ethnicity Logistic regression with LASSO Random forest
Entire validation set 0.822 (0.811-0.832) 0.816 (0.806-0.825)
White 0.828 (0.815-0.840) 0.812 (0.800-0.826)
Hispanic 0.855 (0.822-0.885) 0.831 (0.799-0.859)
Black 0.775 (0.687-0.850) 0.786 (0.715-0.846)
Asian 0.834 (0.796-0.870) 0.882 (0.853-0.910)
American Indian/Alaskan Native 0.599 (0.513-0.686) 0.642 (0.579-0.710)
Not recorded 0.640 (0.598-0.681) 0.676 (0.638-0.714)
a

The 95% CIs were obtained from 1000 visit–level bootstrap samples. Prediction model performance is not reported for visits made by patients who were Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander, multiracial, or other race because there were fewer than 10 visits with a suicide death within 90 days in the validation data set (eTable 9 in the Supplement).