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. 2021 Apr 29;9(4):e27419. doi: 10.2196/27419

Table 1.

Adjusted parameters based on reports in the United States.

COVASIM construct Initial value Modified value Rationale for modification
Incubation: delay from infection to viral shedding Lognormal(4.6, 4.8) Lognormal(4.1, 4.8) The combined distribution of the incubation period did not match the latest evidence. The adjustment aligns it with the evidence.
Incubation: delay from viral shedding to onset of symptoms Lognormal(1,1) Lognormal(1, 1.8) Same as above
Proportion of symptomatic cases 0.7 0.6 Although reports vary, Dr Fauci stated that 40% of the US cases were asymptomatic.