Table 1.

Model parameters; parameters indicated with a tick (✓) are identified by fitting real-world data of reported deaths from [32]. From the table, we derive the following parameters: $\nu =0.156\hspace{0.17em}{\mathrm{d}}^{-1}$, $\mu =0.2\hspace{0.17em}{\mathrm{d}}^{-1}$ and $\gamma =0.105\hspace{0.17em}{\mathrm{d}}^{-1}$.

	meaning	value(s)	reference
1/ν	latency period	6.4 days	[2,43]
1/μ	infectiousness period	5 days	[2,44]
1/γ	time from infectiousness to reported death	9.52 days	[2,44,45]
λ	per-contact infection probability	0.042	✓
η	class distribution	[0.768, 0.232]	[39,40]
a	baseline activity	[0.149, 0.545] d−1	[40]
b	mobility parameter	0.09	[39]
αlow	activity reduction	0.176	✓
m	average number of contacts	19.77	[40]
βlow	mobility reduction	0	✓