TABLE 1.

Estimated diagnostic sensitivity of tracheal, serum, and oral fluid samples, and regression model coefficients

Definition	Parameter	Estimate	SE	95% credible interval
Diagnostic sensitivity (Se)
Tracheal PCR	γ1,1	0.965	0.0302	0.905 to 0.999
Serum ELISA	γ1,2	0.818	0.0243	0.775 to 0.861
Oral fluid PCR	γ1,3	0.396	0.0582	0.285 to 0.507
Hazard baseline	β0	1.943	0.1512	1.647 to 2.241
Pen prevalence	β1	−0.101	0.0083	−0.117 to −0.085
Spatial and pen prevalence	β2	−0.273	0.0406	−0.353 to −0.193
Pen status (0/1)	$C$	4.743	0.3341	4.118 to 5.374
Lag parameter for oral fluids	$q$	2.389	0.2451	1.973 to 2.806