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. 2020 Aug 21;2020(8):CD011737. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD011737.pub3

Oxford Retinopathy 1978.

Study characteristics
Methods RCT
Summary risk of bias: moderate to high for CVD outcomes, low for all‐cause mortality
Participants Newly‐diagnosed non‐insulin‐dependent diabetics (UK)
CVD risk: moderate
Control: number randomised unclear (249 split between the 2 groups, 125?), number analysed for mortality unclear (all but 2 overall at 16 years)
Intervention: number randomised unclear (249 split between the 2 groups, 125?), number analysed as above
Mean years in trial: overall 9.3?
% male: overall 49%
Age: mean overall 47.1 (all < 65)
Ethnicity: not stated
Statins use allowed? Unclear
% taking statins: Not reported (probably none as too early, pre‐1980)
Interventions Reduced and modified dietary fat vs average diet
Control aims: total fat 40%E, PUFA 12%E, protein 20%E, CHO 40%E (reducing simple sugars), 1500 kcal/day
Intervention aims: total fat 26%E, PUFA 16%E, protein 20%E, CHO 54%E (reducing simple sugars), 1500 kcal/day
Control methods: dietary advice from diabetes dietitian
Intervention methods: dietary advice from diabetes dietitian
Total fat intake, %E (at 7 ‐ 9 years)§: int 32 (SD unclear), cont 41 (SD unclear) (mean difference ‐9.00, 95% CI ‐11.48 to ‐6.52 assuming SDs of 10) significant reduction
Saturated fat intake, %E (at 7 ‐ 9 years)§: int 10.7 (SD unclear), cont 20.4 (SD unclear) (mean difference ‐9.70, 95% CI ‐10.94 to ‐8.46 assuming SD of 5) significant reduction
PUFA intake, %E (at 7 ‐ 9 years)§: int 11.8 (SD unclear), cont 2.1 (SD unclear) (mean difference 9.70, 95% CI 8.46 to 10.94 assuming SDs of 5) significant increase
PUFA n‐3 intake: not reported
PUFA n‐6 intake: not reported
MUFA intake, %E (at 7 ‐ 9 years)§: int 9.5 (SD unclear), cont 18.6 (SD unclear) (mean difference ‐9.10, 95% CI ‐10.34 to 7.86 assuming SDs of 5) significant reduction
Carbohydrate intake: not reported
Protein intake: not reported
Trans fat intake: not reported
Replacement for saturated fat: PUFA and CHO (based on dietary goals and achievements)
Style: diet advice
Setting: community (outpatients clinic)
§validity of these data is questionable as it represents only 3 intervention and 3 control participants. Source: Lopez‐Espinoza 1984
Outcomes Stated trial outcomes: retinopathy
Data available on total mortality? yes, but unable to ascertain from which intervention groups (34 deaths at 10 years)
Cardiovascular mortality? no
Events available for combined cardiovascular events: none
Secondary outcomes: none
Tertiary outcomes: BMI, total cholesterol
Notes Study duration over 9 years
Study aim was to reduce total fat and increase PUFAs (so reducing saturates), and saturated fat intake in the intervention group was significantly lower than in the control group
SFA reduction achieved
Total serum cholesterol, difference between intervention and control, mmol/L: 0.07 (95% CI ‐0.34 to 0.48), NO statistically significant reduction and smaller than 0.20
Trial dates: Recruitment 1973 to 1976
Funding: Oxford Diabetes Trust, British Diabetic Association, International Sugar Research Foundation Inc
Declarations of Interest of primary researchers: none stated, all authors worked for academic or health institutions.
Risk of bias
Bias Authors' judgement Support for judgement
Random sequence generation (selection bias) Low risk "random number sequence, provided and allotted by a separate agency" (Prof Richard Peto)
Allocation concealment (selection bias) Low risk "random number sequence, provided and allotted by a separate agency" (Prof Richard Peto)
Blinding of participants and personnel (performance bias)
All outcomes High risk Participants were not blinded.
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
CVD outcomes Unclear risk Unclear whether physicians blinded to allocation
Blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias)
All‐cause mortality Low risk Blinding is not relevant in assessment of mortality.
Incomplete outcome data (attrition bias)
All outcomes Unclear risk Unclear, deaths, cancer and CV events are dropouts ‐ unclear if any data missing
Selective reporting (reporting bias) Low risk Not relevant for primary and secondary outcomes as all trialists were asked for data
Free of systematic difference in care? Low risk Dietetic advice for both groups. See control and intervention methods in the Interventions section of the table of Characteristics of included studies
Stated aim to reduce SFA High risk Aim to reduce SFA not stated
Achieved SFA reduction Low risk SFA reduction achieved
Achieved TC reduction High risk No statistically significant TC fall, and difference only 0.07 mmol/L
Other bias Low risk None noted