Table 2.

Time series models testing associations between high publicity racial violence and mental health outcomes, 2012–2017

	National psychological distress		Black poor mental health days
	Model 1a*		Model 2a		Model 2c†
Predictor variables	B	[95% CI]	B	[95% CI]	B	[95% CI]
Racial violence incidents (ref.=none)
One incident	0.20	[0.01, 0.38]	0.02	[−0.14, 0.18]	0.03	[−0.10, 0.15]
Two+ incidents	−0.19	[−0.57, 0.20]	0.31	[0.08, 0.54]	0.26	[0.10, 0.43]
Autocorrelation parameters
AR (1)	0.56	[0.21, 0.92]	0.07	[−0.07, 0.21]	0.04	[−0.12, 0.20]
MA (1)	−0.25	[−0.60, 0.10]
52-wk lag	0.56	[0.32, 0.79]	0.16	[0.03, 0.29]	0.06	[−0.06, 0.19]
	Model 1b*		Model 2b		Model 2d†
Log10(national interest in racial incidents)	0.04	[−0.21, 0.29]	0.13	[0.05, 0.22]	0.13	[0.05, 0.21]
Autocorrelation parameters
AR (1)	0.60	[0.23, 0.97]	0.04	[−0.09, 0.17]	0.01	[−0.14, 0.16]
MA (1)	−0.29	[−0.65, 0.08]
52-wk lag	0.54	[0.29, 0.78]	0.16	[0.03, 0.29]	0.07	[−0.05, 0.18]

Estimates are unstandardized, and robust 95% CIs are shown. All models adjust for monthly unemployment (first differenced) and season and year fixed effects.

^*Includes news-related search volume for suicide.

^†Includes percent of female respondents and prevalence of depressive disorders.