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. 2021 May 3;16(5):e0250871. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0250871

Table 3. Determinants of an incident chlamydia, gonorrhoea, and chlamydia and/or gonorrhoea infection, EVRI study, Cape Town, South Africa, October 2012-February 2014.

Incident chlamydia (n = 48)a Incident gonorrhoea (n = 29)b Incident chlamydia and/or gonorrhoea (n = 70)c
IRR (95% CI) p aIRRd (95% CI) p IRR (95% CI) p aIRRe (95% CI) p IRR (95% CI) p aIRRf (95% CI) p
1. Socio-demographic characteristics
Age, continuousg 0.77 (0.19;3.07) 0.71 2.92 (0.53;16.1) 0.22 0.79 (0.13;4.76) 0.80 0.76 (0.09;6.37) 0.80 0.69 (0.21;2.19) 0.52 1.34 (0.33;5.39) 0.68
Age, categorical
< 20 year REF 0.76 REF 0.65 REF 0.66
20–21 year 0.97 (0.50;1.89) 1.24 (0.54;2.87) 0.92 (0.53;1.59)
≥ 22 year 0.78 (0.39;1.57) 0.80 (0.31;2.06) 0.76 (0.43;1.37)
Race
Black REF 0.22 REF 0.75 REF 0.68
Other 0.35 (0.05;2.54) 1.27 (0.30;5.37) 0.79 (0.25;2.53)
Highest education level
≤ Grade 12 REF 0.77 REF 0.047 REF 0.10
Passed grade 12 0.86 (0.40;1.86) 0.37 (0.11;1.27) 0.63 (0.32;1.24)
Some college/tech 0.75 (0.34;1.68) 0.26 (0.06;1.14) 0.49 (0.23;1.05)
Marital status
Single REF 0.33 h REF 0.21
Other 0.42 (0.06;3.08) 0.35 (0.05;2.51)
Alcohol use in past month
No REF 0.85 REF 0.06 REF 0.36
Yes 0.94 (0.50;1.76) 2.45 (0.90;6.63) 1.28 (0.74;2.21)
Current smoker
No REF 0.03 i REF 0.31 REF 0.58
Yes 0.18 (0.03;1.34) 1.82 (0.62;5.37) 0.78 (0.31;1.95)
2. Sex related characteristics
Age at first sex act, continuousg 1.87 (0.24;14.46) 0.55 0.58 (0.04;8.92) 0.70 1.00 (0.17;5.76) 1.00
Age at first sex act, categorical
< 16 year REF 0.73 REF REF 0.32 REF REF 0.31 REF
16–17 year 1.59 (0.59;4.26) 1.17 (0.42;3.24) 0.77 1.90 (0.54;6.68) 1.67 (0.46;6.10) 0.44 1.80 (0.79;4.10) 1.57 (0.67;3.68) 0.29
≥ 18 year 1.67 (0.58;4.81) 1.00 (0.32;3.10) 1.00 0.95 (0.21;4.24) 0.71 (0.11;4.43) 0.71 1.28 (0.51;3.21) 1.05 (0.39;2.85) 0.92
Ever been pregnant
No REF 0.64 REF 0.35 REF 0.28
Yes 1.15 (0.64;2.08) 1.42 (0.67;3.01) 1.31 (0.80;2.14)
Current birth control use
No REF 0.63 REF 0.18 REF 0.36
Yes 1.17 (0.61;2.27) 1.90 (0.70;5.16) 1.30 (0.74;2.29)
Type of birth control
No current use REF 0.62 REF 0.07 REF 0.58
Condom 1.40 (0.69;2.83) 1.30 (0.41;4.10) 1.30 (0.70;2.42)
Depo-Provera 0.99 (0.40;2.49) 2.18 (0.66;7.13) 1.17 (0.55;2.50)
Oral contraceptives 0.44 (0.06;3.38) 3.90 (0.93;16.30) 1.42 (0.48;4.23)
Lifetime number of sex partners, continuousj 1.12 (0.67;1.84) 0.67 1.45 (0.78;2.70) 0.26 1.24 (0.82;1.87) 0.31
Lifetime number of sex partners, categorical
< 3 REF 0.35 REF REF 0.002 REF REF 0.08 REF
3–4 1.52 (0.77;3.01) 1.47 (0.74;2.95) 0.27 6.72 (1.92;23.59) 7.29 (2.05;26.00) 0.002 1.95 (1.08;3.55) 1.93 (1.06;3.53) 0.03
≥ 5 0.86 (0.36;2.08) 0.76 (0.29;1.98) 0.58 4.52 (1.13;18.07) 4.32 (1.07;17.46) 0.040 1.48 (0.73;3.00) 1.36 (0.65;2.84) 0.42
Sex partners since start study, continuousj 0.91 (0.50;1.66) 0.75 0.95 (0.40;2.22) 0.90 0.91 (0.53;1.56) 0.74
Sex partners since start study, categorical
0 REF 0.16 REF 0.87 REF 0.19
1 2.50 (0.76;8.25) 1.41 (0.32;6.31) 2.19 (0.78;6.15)
≥ 2 1.59 (0.44;5.69) 1.48 (0.31;6.98) 1.56 (0.52;4.67)
Condom use since start study
No sex REF 0.57 REF 0.30 REF 0.33
Always 1.98 (0.59;6.64) 1.11 (0.24;5.12) 1.77 (0.62;5.06)
More than half of the time 1.77 (0.40;7.89) 1.08 (0.15;7.69) 1.67 (0.47;5.91)
Half of the time 2.44 (0.58;10.21) 1.13 (0.16;8.02) 1.75 (0.49;6.21)
Less than half of the time or never 2.89 (0.75;11.16) 3.26 (0.68;15.71) 3.01 (0.98;9.23)
Sex for presents/money/drugs for sex since start study
No REF 0.74 REF 0.41 REF 0.47
Yes 1.29 (0.31;5.34) 1.94 (0.45;8.31) 1.49 (0.54;4.12)
Prevalent infection at baselinek
No REF REF REF REF REF
Yes 4.14 (2.33–7.35) <0.001 5.83 (3.01;11.28) <0.001 1.66 (0.40;7.00) 0.52 2.23 (1.38;3.58) 0.001 2.54 (1.47;4.38) 0.001

Abbreviations: aIRR, adjusted incidence ratio; CI, confidence interval; IRR, incidence rate ratio; REF, reference category

a. 9 incident events were excluded from multivariable analysis due to missing values

b. 7 incident events were excluded from multivariable analysis due to missing values

c. 14 incident events were excluded from multivariable analysis due to missing values

d. Variables included in the multivariable model based on univariable analysis: age, lifetime number of sex partners, age at first sex act, prevalent chlamydia infection at baseline

e. Variables included in the multivariable model based on univariable analysis: age, lifetime number of sex partners, age at first sex act

f. Variables included in the multivariable mode based on univariable analysis: age, lifetime number of sex partners, age at first sex act, prevalent chlamydia and/or gonorrhoea infection at baseline

g. Per 10 year increase in age

h. Excluded from univariable and multivariable analysis due to 0 observations in one of the categories

i. Excluded from multivariable analysis due to being unstable in the model (large standard error and 95% confidence interval)

j. Per (log+1) increase in partner

k. Chlamydia, gonorrhoea, or chlamydia and/or gonorrhoea, respectively.