Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.
Visual predictive check. (A) and (B) show the visual predictive checks of the index and validation dataset, respectively. The observations and their corresponding median and 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) are indicated by the points, and the solid and dashed red lines. In both graphs, these lines fall within the 95% CI of the median and 95% CI (red and blue shaded areas) as obtained by simulation.
