Table 2.
Equation 1. Current levels of wild meat consumption | |||||||
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Total annual wild meat consumption per country per annum (W) | = | Equation | Daily protein (g) per person per day from game meat (WPPPD) |
X | National population estimate | X | 365.25 |
Data source | GENuS database 7 |
UN 2019 population estimates82 | Days per year |
Equation 2. Hypothetical protein consumption if under worst-case food insecurity scenario | |||||||
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Hypothetical protein deficit if wild meat is removed without alternatives (Premoval) | = | Equation | Total protein intake per person per day from all foods (Pcurrent) | - | WPPPD | ||
Data source | GENuS database (Smith, 2016) | GENuS database 7 |
Equation 3. Hypothetical land demand under worst-case land use change scenario | ||||||
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Hypothetical land use change (km2) if all wild meat protein is replaced with animal agriculture (Ldemand) | = | Equation | W | X | ||
Data source | Equation 1 | Where i is the different livestock sectors within a country (beef, sheep/goat, pork, poultry), weighted according to current consumption levels (estimated from Smith (2016)), and L is land needed per sector (km2/kg) based on region-specific estimates of land demand per unit of protein, for pasture (Lpast) and cropland for feed (Lcrop)11 |
Equation 4. Hypothetical biodiversity loss under worst-case land use change scenario | ||||
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Hypothetical biodiversity loss (no. species) if all wild meat protein is replaced with animal agriculture (Bloss) | = | Equation | ||
Data | Where Ldemand (pasture) is the land demand component for pasture only and Ldemand (Crop) is the land demand component for crop only (Equation 3). C and O are country-specific “global characterization factors” of the number of species destined for extinction, caused by: C = one-off impact of conversion of natural habitats to pasture (Cpast) and cropland (Ccrop). O = ongoing impact of land occupation (assumed to be 10 years in this study) by pasture (Opast) and cropland (Ocrop)8 |