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. 2020 Dec 3;2020(12):CD013020. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013020.pub2

Summary of findings 1. Different bone‐modifying agents compared with each other and no treatment/placebo for men with prostate cancer and bone metastases.

Different bone‐modifying agents compared with each other and no treatment/placebo for men with prostate cancer and bone metastases
Patient or population: prostate cancer patients with bone metastases
Setting: castration‐resistant and castration‐sensitive patients
Intervention: zoledronic acid, denosumab
Comparison: no treatment/placebo
Outcomes Absolute effects and relative effects with 95% CIs. Main comparator: no treatment/placebo
Assumed risk with no treatment/placebo* Corresponding risk with zoledronic acid Corresponding risk with denosumab
Proportion of participants with pain response
(network based on 4 studies including 1013 participants; follow‐up 5‐12 months)
Response 265 per 1000
(26.5%)
Response 386 per 1000
(246 to 614)
  RR 1.46
(0.93 to 2.32)
⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderate1
Adverse event: renal impairment
(network based on 6 studies including 1769 participants; follow‐up 5‐36 months)
124 per 1000
(12.4%)
202 per 1000
(134 to 304)
  RR 1.63
(1.08 to 2.45)
⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderate2
Adverse event: osteonecrosis of the jaw
(network based on 4 studies including 3006 participants; follow‐up 5‐24 months)
12 per 1000
(1.2%)
23 per 1000
(9 to 59)
42 per 1000
(13 to 137)
  RR 1.88
(0.73 to 4.87)
RR 3.45
(1.06 to 11.24)
⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderate1 ⊕⊕⊕⊕
High
Skeletal‐related events total
(network based on 12 studies including 5240 participants; follow‐up 5‐60 months)
468 per 1000
(46.8%)
393 per 1000
(337 to 454)
337 per 1000
(253 to 449)
  RR 0.84
(0.72 to 0.97)
RR 0.72
(0.54 to 0.96)
⊕⊕⊝⊝
Low2,3 ⊕⊕⊝⊝
Low2,3
Mortality
(network based on 13 studies including 5494 participants; follow‐up 12‐60 months)
484 per 1000
(48.4%)
436 per 1000
(387 to 489)
450 per 1000
(373 to 538)
  RR 0.90
(0.80 to 1.01)
RR 0.93
(0.77 to 1.11)
⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderate1 ⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderate1
Quality of life
(narrative based on 1 study including 1904 participants)
Assessed via Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy‐General questionnaire, follow‐up 18 months)
More zoledronic acid‐treated patients than denosumab‐treated patients experienced a greater than or equal to five‐point decrease in Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy‐General total scores (average relative difference = 6.8%, range ‐9.4 to 14.6%) or worsening of cancer‐related quality of life
⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderate1
*The basis for the assumed risk/response (e.g. the median control group risk/response across studies) was calculated from the included trials in the network of each outcome. The corresponding likelihood (and its 95% CI) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).
CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio
GRADE Working Group grades of evidenceHigh certainty: Further research is very unlikely to change our confidence in the estimate of effect.
Moderate certainty: Further research is likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and may change the estimate.
Low certainty: Further research is very likely to have an important impact on our confidence in the estimate of effect and is likely to change the estimate.
Very low certainty: We are very uncertain about the estimate.

1Downgraded 1 level for imprecision since 95% confidence interval wide and cross unity.
2Downgraded 1 level for inconsistency (heterogeneity) since prediction intervals compared to confidence intervals would change clinical decision (but not the ranking of treatment options).
3Downgraded 1 level for serious risk of bias, mostly regarding blinding. Downgraded if outcome of interest was considered subjective in these cases.