Table A.9.

Prior distributions for each parameter and initial conditions.

Parameter	Prior distribution	Initial condition	Prior distribution
${\hat{\beta }}_S$	$\mathcal{N}(0.5,0.1)$	$E\left(0\right)$	$\mathcal{U}(1,15)$
${\hat{\beta }}_A$	$\mathcal{N}(0.5,0.1)$	$I_S\left(0\right)$	$\mathcal{U}(1,5)$
$p$	$\mathcal{U}(0.05,0.25)$	$I_A\left(0\right)$	$\mathcal{U}(1,15)$
${ϵ}_1$	$\mathcal{U}(0.05,1)$
${ϵ}_2$	$\mathcal{U}(0.05,1)$