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. 2020 Dec 4;190(5):893–899. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwaa253

Table 2.

Sensitivity Analysis Demonstrating the Effect of Decay Rate on the Number of Infections Defined Using Paired Serology Among Participants in a Longitudinal Cohort Study Conducted in Pau da Lima, Brazil, 2013–2015

Titer Decay Rate Total Infections a Per 6-Month Period, Median (IQR)
Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4
Conventional (no decay) 64 96 47 66
0.981 (R/4) 66 (65–67) 98 (97–99) 51 (50–53) 69 (68–71)
0.962 (R/2) 69 (68–70) 100 (99–101) 56 (55–58) 73 (72–75)
0.926 (R) 73 (72–74) 106 (105–108) 64 (63–65) 87 (85–88)
0.857 (2R) 82 (81–83) 120 (120–121) 77 (76–78) 101 (100–101)

Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; R, estimated decay rate.

a Total infections consists of seroconversions plus 4-fold rises.