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. 2021 Apr 30;8(1):e000773. doi: 10.1136/bmjresp-2020-000773

Table 4.

Joinpoint analysis for crude asthma hospital admissions and mortality rates in Ecuador, 2000–2018

Full range 2000 - 2018 Trend 1 Trend 2 Trend 3
AAPC (95% CI) Years APC (95% CI) Years APC (95% CI) Years APC (95% CI)
Asthma Hospital Admissions
 Total sample -3.1* (-4.3 to -1.9) 2000–2011 -0.8 (-2.1 to 0.5) 2011–2018 -6.6 * (-9.3 to -3.9)
 Sex
 Male -2.7* (-4.2 to -1.1) 2000–2011 0.0 (-1.6 to 1.8) 2011–2018 -6.8* (-10.1 to -3.4)
 Female -3.6 (-4.5 to -2.6) 2000–2011 -1.7* (-2.7 to -0.7) 2011–2018 -6.5* (-8.5 to -4.4)
 Age group
 <5 -2.7* (-4.9 to -0.6) 2000–2012 0.2 (-1.6 to 2.1) 2012–2018 -8.4* (-13.8 to -2.6)
 5-19 -1.4 (-3.6 to 0.9) 2000–2002 -14.8 (-29.6 to 3.2) 2002–2012 3.5* (1.7 to 5.3) 2012 - 2018 -4.5* (-7.3 to -1.6)
 20-44 -4.3* (-5.8 to -2.7) 2000–2008 -1 (-3.8 to 1.7) 2008–2018 -6.8* (-8.9 to -4.7)
 45-64 -6.2* (-7.6 to -4.8) 2000–2009 -3.6* (-5.7 to -1.6) 2009–2018 -8.7* (-11 to -6.4)
 >64 -7.8* (-10.6 to -4.8) 2000–2002 -10.7 (-25 to 6.4) 2002 – 2005 5.2 (-11.5 to 25.1) 2005 - 2018 -10.1* (-11 to - 9.1)
 Region
 Coast -3.4* (-5 to -1.8) 2000–2011 0.7 (-1.1 to 2.4) 2011–2018 -9.5* (-12.8 to -6)
 Andean -2.3* (-2.9 to -1.7) 2000–2018 -2.3* (-2.9 to -1.7)
 Amazon -4.9* (-5.7 to -4) 2000–2018 -4.9* (-5.7 to -4)
Asthma Mortality
 Total sample -5.6* (-6.7 to -4.4) 2000–2018 -5.6* (-6.7 to -4.4)
 Sex
 Male -5.6* (-7.5 to -3.7) 2000–2008 -1.9 (-5.2 to 1.4) 2008–2018 -8.5* (-11.1 to -5.8)
 Female -5.7* (-7.2 to -4.1) 2000–2018 -5.7* (-7.2 to -4.1)
 Age group
 <5 -11.1* (-14 to -8.1) 2000–2018 -11.1* (-14 to -8.1)
 5-19
 20-44 -5.6* (-8.2 to -2.9) 2000–2018 -5.6* (-8.2 to -2.9)
 45-64 -6* (-8.7 to -3.3) 2000–2018 -6* (-8.7 to -3.3)
 >64 -5.8* (-7.2 to -4.4) 2000–2018 -5.8* (-7.2 to -4.4)
 Region
 Coast -3.8 (-9.3 to 2) 2000–2002 -22.4 (-51.3to 23.6) 2002–2008 7.3 (-3.6 to 19.3) 2008 - 2018 -5.9* (-9.2 to -2.5)
 Andean -9.7* (-11.7 to -7.7) 2000–2018 -9.7* (-11.7 to -7.7)
 Amazon

*P<0.05.

AAPC, Average Annual Percentage Change; APC, Annual Percentage Change.