Table 1.
Covariatesa | HRb,c | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | P value | Patients (N=529,359) |
Intervals (N=1,749,468) | Events (N=8813) |
Tri/tetracyclic antidepressants + SGAd,e | 2.33 | 1.28 | 4.26 | 5.73×10-3 | 180 | 1044 | 11 |
SSRIf + FGAg,e | 2.26 | 1.16 | 4.38 | 1.61×10-2 | 195 | 1014 | 9 |
FGA + MSAh,e | 1.82 | 1.15 | 2.89 | 1.12×10-2 | 481 | 2448 | 19 |
SSRI + lithium + MSA + SGAe | 1.72 | 1.00 | 2.97 | 4.96×10-2 | 192 | 1424 | 14 |
FGA monoclass therapye | 1.69 | 1.19 | 2.39 | 3.20×10-3 | 1069 | 5853 | 35 |
SNRIi + SGAe | 1.59 | 1.18 | 2.14 | 2.27×10-3 | 1466 | 6803 | 50 |
SNRI + MSA + SGAe | 1.56 | 1.06 | 2.29 | 2.25×10-2 | 805 | 4200 | 29 |
Asenapine | 1.50 | 0.77 | 2.90 | 2.31×10-1 | 160 | 1494 | 9 |
Lithium + MSA + SGAe | 1.42 | 1.07 | 1.90 | 1.52×10-2 | 1143 | 7748 | 57 |
Lurasidone | 1.42 | 0.97 | 2.07 | 7.25×10-2 | 459 | 3919 | 29 |
NDRIj + SSRI + MSA + SGA | 1.40 | 0.66 | 2.96 | 3.84×10-1 | 170 | 1251 | 7 |
SSRI + lithium + SGA | 1.39 | 0.94 | 2.05 | 9.85×10-2 | 725 | 3898 | 28 |
NDRI + lithium + MSA | 1.38 | 0.65 | 2.93 | 3.95×10-1 | 193 | 1438 | 7 |
Aripiprazole + MSA + SGA | 1.38 | 0.86 | 2.22 | 1.87×10-1 | 411 | 2641 | 18 |
Lithium + MSAe | 1.35 | 1.09 | 1.67 | 5.32×10-3 | 2763 | 18,728 | 116 |
Lithium + SGAe | 1.34 | 1.11 | 1.62 | 2.86×10-3 | 3757 | 18,980 | 155 |
Polypharmacy 4k | 1.33 | 0.97 | 1.82 | 7.60×10-2 | 1274 | 8867 | 47 |
SSRI + MSA + SGAe | 1.31 | 1.05 | 1.62 | 1.52×10-2 | 3153 | 16,322 | 118 |
NDRI + MSA + SGA | 1.25 | 0.86 | 1.81 | 2.47×10-1 | 836 | 5558 | 30 |
Aripiprazole + SGA | 1.22 | 0.79 | 1.88 | 3.72×10-1 | 715 | 3987 | 22 |
NASSAl + SGA | 1.20 | 0.62 | 2.33 | 5.86×10-1 | 321 | 1457 | 9 |
NDRI + lithium | 1.16 | 0.74 | 1.80 | 5.18×10-1 | 728 | 4559 | 21 |
Tri/tetracyclic antidepressants | 1.15 | 0.71 | 1.88 | 5.66×10-1 | 693 | 4130 | 17 |
SSRI + lithium + MSA | 1.10 | 0.66 | 1.82 | 7.10×10-1 | 499 | 3,514 | 16 |
Uncommon monotherapy | 1.09 | 0.49 | 2.45 | 8.29×10-1 | 169 | 1205 | 6 |
NDRI + SSRI + MSA | 1.08 | 0.68 | 1.72 | 7.44×10-1 | 720 | 4754 | 19 |
SSRI + lithium | 1.06 | 0.81 | 1.39 | 6.61×10-1 | 2457 | 13,235 | 64 |
MSA + SGA | 1.05 | 0.91 | 1.21 | 5.15×10-1 | 13,348 | 67,185 | 421 |
Lithium (reference) | 1.00 | N/Am | N/A | N/A | 13,759 | 66,760 | 351 |
Polypharmacy 3n | 1.00 | 0.79 | 1.25 | 9.66×10-1 | 3794 | 23,234 | 95 |
NDRI + aripiprazole + MSA | 0.99 | 0.51 | 1.91 | 9.67×10-1 | 254 | 2316 | 9 |
Lithium + aripiprazole + MSA | 0.97 | 0.50 | 1.89 | 9.30×10-1 | 227 | 1797 | 9 |
SNRI + lithium | 0.97 | 0.54 | 1.72 | 9.06×10-1 | 529 | 2814 | 12 |
SSRI + SGA | 0.96 | 0.80 | 1.15 | 6.36×10-1 | 7896 | 33,503 | 188 |
SSRI + MSA | 0.95 | 0.81 | 1.11 | 5.32×10-1 | 12,315 | 58,789 | 286 |
Quetiapine | 0.95 | 0.82 | 1.10 | 5.03×10-1 | 13,795 | 60,422 | 342 |
Aripiprazole + MSA | 0.94 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 5.90×10-1 | 3401 | 21,368 | 108 |
Ziprasidone | 0.94 | 0.71 | 1.24 | 6.63×10-1 | 2381 | 11,773 | 58 |
Multi-SGA | 0.93 | 0.56 | 1.57 | 7.94×10-1 | 677 | 3479 | 15 |
Lithium + aripiprazole | 0.92 | 0.60 | 1.42 | 7.19×10-1 | 665 | 4268 | 22 |
SNRI + MSA | 0.90 | 0.68 | 1.20 | 4.80×10-1 | 2939 | 13,995 | 58 |
FGA + lithium | 0.89 | 0.40 | 1.99 | 7.73×10-1 | 315 | 1472 | 6 |
NDRI + SGA | 0.89 | 0.62 | 1.27 | 5.07×10-1 | 1408 | 8336 | 33 |
Multi-MSA | 0.87 | 0.61 | 1.24 | 4.49×10-1 | 1451 | 8792 | 34 |
SSRI + aripiprazole | 0.85 | 0.64 | 1.14 | 2.83×10-1 | 2285 | 11,695 | 52 |
Olanzapine | 0.84 | 0.66 | 1.07 | 1.57×10-1 | 4040 | 16,759 | 83 |
NASSA + MSA | 0.82 | 0.42 | 1.60 | 5.65×10-1 | 438 | 2313 | 9 |
NDRI + MSA | 0.82 | 0.64 | 1.05 | 1.20×10-1 | 3460 | 21,294 | 74 |
Oxcarbazepine | 0.81 | 0.65 | 1.02 | 6.91×10-2 | 4436 | 20,633 | 97 |
Carbamazepine | 0.74 | 0.54 | 1.02 | 6.45×10-2 | 2284 | 10,662 | 42 |
Lamotriginee | 0.74 | 0.65 | 0.85 | 1.13×10-5 | 28,624 | 131,786 | 549 |
NDRI + aripiprazole | 0.73 | 0.41 | 1.30 | 2.91×10-1 | 564 | 4038 | 12 |
Valproatee | 0.71 | 0.61 | 0.84 | 4.57×10-5 | 14,718 | 61,544 | 253 |
SSRI + aripiprazole + MSA | 0.70 | 0.43 | 1.15 | 1.56×10-1 | 784 | 5148 | 17 |
Aripiprazolee | 0.70 | 0.59 | 0.84 | 9.40×10-5 | 8872 | 47,373 | 186 |
Polypharmacy 2o | 0.68 | 0.46 | 1.01 | 5.32×10-2 | 2017 | 11,269 | 28 |
Risperidonee | 0.68 | 0.56 | 0.83 | 1.82×10-4 | 7084 | 28,302 | 138 |
SNRIe | 0.65 | 0.51 | 0.83 | 5.51×10-4 | 6120 | 27,921 | 78 |
NASSA | 0.65 | 0.38 | 1.08 | 9.77×10-2 | 950 | 4964 | 15 |
Paliperidone | 0.61 | 0.29 | 1.30 | 2.03×10-1 | 292 | 1858 | 7 |
SSRIe | 0.61 | 0.53 | 0.71 | 6.05×10-11 | 30,138 | 131,895 | 381 |
NDRI + SSRI + SGA | 0.60 | 0.25 | 1.45 | 2.57×10-1 | 345 | 2079 | 5 |
“No drug”e | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.63 | 2.79×10-22 | 299,295 | 621,467 | 3694 |
NDRI (bupropion)e | 0.50 | 0.39 | 0.65 | 1.18×10-7 | 6005 | 35,433 | 72 |
SNRI + aripiprazole | 0.45 | 0.19 | 1.09 | 7.85×10-2 | 457 | 2765 | 5 |
NDRI (bupropion) +SSRIe | 0.28 | 0.13 | 0.60 | 1.00×10-3 | 1263 | 7496 | 7 |
Prior self-harme | 3.32 | 2.68 | 4.11 | 3.17×10-28 | 704 | 1652 | 70 |
Alcohol/substance abuse or dependencee | 1.92 | 1.81 | 2.03 | 7.17×10-106 | 57,392 | 149,679 | 1065 |
Deliriume | 1.69 | 1.36 | 2.10 | 1.92×10-6 | 1694 | 4086 | 60 |
Prior hospitalizatione | 1.63 | 1.54 | 1.72 | 1.78×10-64 | 131,613 | 342,122 | 1905 |
Mental procedure before index exposuree | 1.50 | 1.42 | 1.58 | 3.43×10-50 | 81,943 | 247,474 | 841 |
Liver diseasee | 1.49 | 1.29 | 1.71 | 4.27×10-8 | 9063 | 23,559 | 121 |
Unknown polarity of index mood episodee | 1.33 | 1.24 | 1.43 | 1.67×10-15 | 307,243 | 1,000,348 | 2447 |
Conduct disordere | 1.26 | 1.14 | 1.39 | 3.65×10-6 | 13,728 | 39,657 | 255 |
Seizure disordere | 1.18 | 1.11 | 1.25 | 2.07×10-7 | 90,276 | 307,887 | 667 |
External injurye | 1.12 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 2.31×10-5 | 117,722 | 338,635 | 1350 |
Pulmonary disorder | 1.12 | 0.99 | 1.26 | 7.60×10-2 | 18,960 | 48,974 | 160 |
Depression during the index meta-visite | 1.10 | 1.02 | 1.18 | 1.52×10-2 | 72,386 | 245,707 | 487 |
Male sexe | 1.07 | 1.03 | 1.12 | 1.46×10-3 | 227,507 | 733,963 | 1966 |
Exposure to sedative or antianxiety druge | 1.06 | 1.00 | 1.12 | 4.24×10-2 | 130,186 | 431,040 | 929 |
Number of prior unique BDp drugs tried (linear component of spline fit)e | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 4.17×10-3 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Psychotic features present during the index meta-visit | 1.01 | 0.92 | 1.11 | 7.73×10-1 | 23,846 | 78,579 | 345 |
Age (linear component of spline fit)e | 0.98 | 0.97 | 0.98 | 6.99×10-201 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Exposure to central nervous system stimulant | 0.95 | 0.88 | 1.01 | 9.62×10-2 | 55,140 | 195,116 | 396 |
BD type II during the index meta-visite | 0.93 | 0.87 | 0.99 | 2.49×10-2 | 90,741 | 331,720 | 497 |
Manic episode during the index meta-visite | 0.92 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 3.40×10-2 | 82,955 | 250,285 | 512 |
Exposure to glucocorticoidse | 0.83 | 0.77 | 0.89 | 1.04×10-7 | 80,626 | 246,182 | 472 |
Exposure to antibacterial agentse | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.84 | 3.77×10-17 | 144,933 | 453,129 | 951 |
Exposure to sex hormonese | 0.79 | 0.74 | 0.85 | 3.08×10-10 | 67,550 | 217,335 | 372 |
Neoplasme | 0.77 | 0.70 | 0.85 | 1.70×10-7 | 42,628 | 130,488 | 220 |
Psychotic features unknown during the index meta-visite | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 2.85×10-30 | 401,789 | 1,295,408 | 2709 |
Psychotherapy (psychosocial interventions)e | 0.59 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 1.12×10-114 | 249,328 | 704,937 | 1369 |
Outpatient visit present during the index meta-visite | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.63 | 4.69×10-23 | 522,232 | 1,732,715 | 3475 |
Age (nonlinear components of the spline model)e | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.58×10-32 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Number of prior unique BD drugs tried (nonlinear components of spline fit)e | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.21×10-9 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
aCovariates labeled “prior” are related to the 1-year period before the index exposure.
bCovariates are sorted by their hazard ratio value.
cHR: hazard ratio.
dSGA: second-generation antipsychotic.
eCovariates with significant P values (<.05; no multiple testing correction).
fSSRI: selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor.
gFGA: first-generation antipsychotic.
hMSA: mood stabilizing anticonvulsant.
iSNRI: serotonin-norepinephrine reuptake inhibitor.
jNDRI: norepinephrine-dopamine reuptake inhibitor (represented by bupropion only).
kPolypharmacy 4: uncommon combination of four or more bipolar disorder drug classes.
lNASSA: noradrenergic and specific serotonergic antidepressant (represented by mirtazapine only).
mN/A: not applicable.
nPolypharmacy 3: uncommon combination of three bipolar disorder drug classes.
oPolypharmacy 2: uncommon combination of two bipolar disorder drug classes.
pBD: bipolar disorder.