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. 2021 May 6;22:138. doi: 10.1186/s13059-021-02348-5

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© The Author(s) 2021

Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.

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Fig. 6 — Increased TE mobilization under future climates. a Forecasted change of climatic envelope CE2 by genetic group under average CMIP6 SSP5–8.5 GCM for 2081–2100 compared to recent climate (1970–2000). b Predictive variance of the numbers of recent copies on 100 random testing sets of 100 accessions for GLMs based on population structure and allelic variation at NRPE1 (G), including BIO15 (G+BIO15), or with interactions between bio-variables and NRPE1 (GxE). c–e Predicted change by genetic group in copy numbers using GxE GLM with future climate predictions for 2081–2100 for c carriers of the reference NRPE1 allele and d carriers of the derived NRPE1’ alleles. e Spatial variations in BIO02 predicted for 2081–2100 and their outcome on copy-number changes by accession