Table 4. Infection regressions (OLS).

Variables	Cumulative incidence rate		Peak		Days to peak
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
Women	-5.434	-6.097	4.462	4.158	0.115	0.144
Children	-0.043	-3.667	6.027	0.792	0.0805	0.073
People 65+	6.415	5.517	-2.984	-4.732	-0.154**	-0.135*
People 80+	0.488	6.113	-1.859	1.479	-0.0211	-0.000521
Migrants	-2.751	-5.453	1.504	1.268	0.0231	0.0429
Population density	4.07E-05	6.35e-05*	2.45E-05	4.59E-05	-3.33E-07	-4.92E-07
Rurality	0.89	1.547	-0.176	-0.267	-0.025	-0.044***
Multidimensional poverty	5.065***		4.528***		1.68E-05
Income poverty		2.433		5.885		-0.0148
No overcrowding		-2.11		2.701		-0.00375
Critical overcrowding		10.98		8.536		-0.0337
Years of education		-0.101		-0.33		0.00116
Self-employed worker		4.467		0.117		-0.198**
Green spaces	0.0232	0.0223	-0.0161	-0.00561	-0.000915*	-0.00069
Use public transportation	9.526***	8.803***	2.537	2.122	-0.0459	-0.0606
Water inside the house	-4.636	-2.112	-0.262	-1.411	0.0485	0.0593
Public health insurance		0.893		-0.86		0.0164
Difficulty getting healthcare	-91.34	-113.2*	30.93	43.17	1.279*	1.957**
Distance to health center	0.441	0.379	1.347	1.194	0.00237	-0.0095
COVID-19 risk factors	0.0994	-3.177	4.436	3.435	0.028	0.0604
Constant	5,196	6,448	-3,440	490.1	12.54	-5.576
R-squared	0.665	0.692	0.609	0.632	0.351	0.428
Adjusted R-squared	0.538	0.509	0.461	0.414	0.105	0.088
Moran’s I (residuals)	-0.0374	-0.0222	-0.0587	-0.0687	-0.0309	-0.0196

Significance level (robust standard errors)

*** p<0.01

** p<0.05

* p<0.1