Table 7. Spatial regressions.
| Variables | Days to peak (cases) | Peak of deaths | Days to peak (deaths) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | (9) | (10) | |
| Women | -9.456 | 23.377 | -30.26 | 45.136 | 76.743 | 63.092 | 2.711 | -25.066 | ||
| Children | -620.043** | -613.191** | -522.592* | -496.787 | -285.822** | -259.304** | -100.258 | -102.77 | ||
| People 65+ | 8.708 | -23.345 | -99.113 | -153.403 | -130.896*** | -117.632** | -95.151* | -76.386 | -45.941 | |
| People 80+ | 103.343 | 97.8213 | 165.106 | 134.547 | 65.410 | 72.103 | 142.891 | 158.972 | ||
| Migrants | -77.8217 | -68.4965 | -139.26 | -107.79 | -34.884 | -35.264 | -75.032* | -87.199** | ||
| Population density | -0.0004 | 0.002** | 0.002** | 0.003*** | 0.002** | -4.43E-05 | -7.62E-05 | -4.45E-04 | -3.17E-04 | -0.0005* |
| Rurality | -70.224** | -73.757** | -49.2687 | -60.4497 | -74.930*** | -74.644*** | -68.746*** | -65.216*** | -79.102*** | |
| Multidimensional poverty | -8.085 | 101.431** | 83.265* | -26.906 | -24.657 | -35.465* | ||||
| Income poverty | -67.462 | -94.926 | 67.6838 | 82.5887 | ||||||
| No overcrowding | 44.953 | 52.752 | -102.822** | -106.482** | ||||||
| Critical overcrowding | 464.011 | 431.904 | -57.8263 | -43.1727 | ||||||
| Years of education | 4.0846 | 4.474 | 6.544** | 6.460** | ||||||
| Self-employed worker | 228.15 | 177.625 | -38.352 | -21.033 | ||||||
| Green spaces | 0.4810 | 0.384 | 0.482 | 0.329 | 0.0818 | 0.0564 | -0.041 | 0.013 | ||
| Use public transportation | 63.946** | -27.383 | -68.326 | -70.828 | -141.338 | -37.726 | -28.510 | -9.6124 | 16.709 | |
| Water inside the house | -131.964 | -104.831 | 7.413 | 59.075 | 48.668 | 31.673 | 27.682 | 1.949 | ||
| Public health insurance | 68.686 | 62.570 | 10.194 | 12.184 | ||||||
| Difficulty getting healthcare | -24.329 | 1727.94 | 2189.74 | 1155.48 | 2209.2 | 342.868 | 282.777 | -294.38 | -667.431 | |
| Distance to health center | -36.986 | -36.69 | -8.613 | -8.224 | -66.302*** | -66.918*** | -76.052*** | -76.081*** | -67.963*** | |
| COVID-19 risk factors | -131.877 | -128.927 | -85.627 | -50.797 | -29.793 | -38.610 | -29.862 | -40.965 | ||
| Cumulative incidence | 0.003 | 0.005 | -0.0005 | -0.0023 | -1.69E-03 | |||||
| Spatial term | -0.342* | -0.459* | -0.477** | -0.601** | -0.667*** | -0.745*** | -0.625*** | -0.539** | -0.469** | -0.546** |
| Constant | 51.637*** | 249.626 | 213.952 | -29.889 | -115.976 | 117.311 | 138.781 | 179.811 | 217.897 | 74.778*** |
| R-squared | 0.166 | 0.516 | 0.523 | 0.547 | 0.570 | 0.693 | 0.674 | 0.712 | 0.706 | 0.614 |
| Moran’s I (residuals) | -0.002 | -0.142* | -0.143* | -0.111 | -0.108 | -0.099 | -0.113 | -0.203*** | -0.183*** | 0.012 |
Significance level
*** p<0.01
** p<0.05
* p<0.1