Table 1. Parameters used in the decision tree to estimate human rabies deaths at the administrative level.
Parameter | Value | Description | Source |
---|---|---|---|
Bi | Function of travel time to closest clinic provisioning PEP | Modeled estimates of reported bite incidence | Bayesian regression model (see Methods) |
Ei | Triangular(a = 15, b = 76, c = 42) | Annual exposures per 100,000 persons | [4,15], see Fig A in S4 Text |
prabid | Triangular(a = 0.2, b = 0.6, c = 0.4) | Proportion of reported bites that are rabies exposures1 | [15] |
ρmax | 0.98 | The maximum reporting possible for any location; data from the commune closest to the Moramanga clinic (average travel time estimate of ~ 3.12 minutes) | [15] |
pdeath | 0.16 | The probability of death given a rabies exposure | [22] |
1 prabid is constrained so that rabid reported bites cannot exceed the total expected number of rabies exposures (Ei) or maximum reporting in a given simulation (ρmax).