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. 2021 Apr 26;15(4):e0008821. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0008821

Table 1. Parameters used in the decision tree to estimate human rabies deaths at the administrative level.

Parameter Value Description Source
Bi Function of travel time to closest clinic provisioning PEP Modeled estimates of reported bite incidence Bayesian regression model (see Methods)
Ei Triangular(a = 15, b = 76, c = 42) Annual exposures per 100,000 persons [4,15], see Fig A in S4 Text
prabid Triangular(a = 0.2, b = 0.6, c = 0.4) Proportion of reported bites that are rabies exposures1 [15]
ρmax 0.98 The maximum reporting possible for any location; data from the commune closest to the Moramanga clinic (average travel time estimate of ~ 3.12 minutes) [15]
pdeath 0.16 The probability of death given a rabies exposure [22]

1 prabid is constrained so that rabid reported bites cannot exceed the total expected number of rabies exposures (Ei) or maximum reporting in a given simulation (ρmax).