Table 2. Model predictions of average annual reported bite incidence, total deaths, and deaths averted at the national level for the two models (commune level and district level models with travel time predictor and an overdispersion parameter); 95% prediction interval in parentheses.

Model	Reported bite incidence per 100k	Burden of deaths	Deaths averted by current PEP provisioning
Commune	85 (56–129)	963 (795–1118)	801 (644–968)
District	85 (52–136)	958 (752–1156)	807 (609–1005)