Table 3.
Cox proportional hazards regression results (unadjusted and adjusted a) for 31-year (median) all-cause and cardiovascular mortality
Characteristic | Reference category | All-cause mortality | Cardiovascular mortality | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Univariate HR (95% CI) | Univariate P-value | Multivariate HR (95% CI) | Multivariate P-value | Univariate HR (95% CI) | Univariate P-value | Multivariate HR (95% CI) | Multivariate P-value | ||
Age | 1-year increment | 1.1 (1.1–1.12) | < 0.001 | 1.1 (1.09–1.1) | < 0.001 | 1.2 (1.1–1.2) | < 0.001 | 1.1 (1.1–1.2) | < 0.001 |
Sex, Male | Female | 1.4 (1.3–1.6) | < 0.001 | 1.2 (1.1–1.4) | 0.001 | 1.5 (1.2–1.9) | < 0.001 | 1.4 (1.1–1.7) | 0.006 |
Origin | Yemen | ||||||||
Middle East | 1.04 (0.9–1.2) | 0.6 | 1.3 (1.1–1.5) | 0.004 | 1.01 (0.8–1.3) | 0.96 | 1.4 (1.1–1.9) | 0.02 | |
North Africa | 0.96 (0.8–1.1) | 0.6 | 1.1 (0.95–1.3) | 0.3 | 1.02 (0.8–1.3) | 0.9 | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | 0.1 | |
Europe-America | 1.2 (0.99–1.4) | 0.08 | 1.2 (1.02–1.4) | 0.06 | 1.1 (0.8–1.5) | 0.5 | 1.04 (0.8–1.4) | 0.8 | |
Smoking status, Ever | Never | 1.2 (1.03–1.3) | 0.01 | 1.2 (1.03–1.3) | 0.04 | 1.2 (1.02–1.5) | 0.03 | 1.1 (0.9–1.4) | 0. 3 |
Glycemic state | Normoglycemia | ||||||||
Prediabetes | 1.5 (1.3–1.7) | < 0.001 | 1.1 (0.95–1.2) | 0.2 | 1.8 (1.4–2.2) | < 0.001 | 1.1 (0.9–1.4) | 0.6 | |
Diabetes | 3.5 (2.9–4.1) | < 0.001 | 1.8 (1.5–2.1) | < 0.001 | 6.6 (4.9–8.8) | < 0.001 | 2.1 (1.5–2.9) | < 0.001 | |
Systolic Blood Pressure | 1-mmHg increment | 1.7 (1.5–1.9) | < 0.001 | 1.01 (1.004–1.01) | < 0.001 | 1.03 (1.03–1.04) | < 0.001 | 1.01 (1.007–1.02) | < 0.001 |
BMI () b | Normal | ||||||||
Overweight | 1.3 (1.1–1.4) | < 0.001 | 1.1 (0.97–1.2) | 0.1 | 1.3 (1.02–1.6) | 0.03 | 1.1 (0.8–1.4) | 0.6 | |
Obese | 1.6 (1.4–1.9) | < 0.001 | 1.3 (1.1–1.6) | 0.001 | 1.99 (1.5–2.6) | < 0.001 | 1.4 (1.03–1.9) | 0.03 | |
Total cholesterolc Borderline-high High |
Normal |
1.03 (0.9–1.2) 1.2 (1.0–1.4) |
0.5 0.004 |
0.98 (0.8–1.1) 1.04 (0.9–1.2) |
0.7 0.6 |
1.03 (0.8–1.3) 1.5 (1.2–1.9) |
0.9 0.002 |
0.99 (1.3–1.8) 1.2 (0.9–1.5) |
0.9 0.2 |
Ln MISI, Q1 | Q2-4 | 1.4 (1.2–1.7) | < 0.001 | 1.03 (0.9–1.2) | 0.2 | 1.7 (1.2–2.2) | 0.01 | 0.9 (0.6–1.2) | 0.1 |
Ln HOMA-IR, Q4 | Q1-3 | 1.5 (1.3–1.7) | < 0.001 | 1.2 (1.04–1.4) | 0.01 | 1.8 (1.4–2.2) | < 0.001 | 1.2 (0.95–1.5) | 0.09 |
Ln HOMA-%B, Q1 | Q2-4 | 1.3 (1.1–1.4) | < 0.001 | 0.96 (0.8–1.1) | 0.7 | 1.4 (1.1–1.8) | 0.002 | 0.9 (0.7–1.2) | 0.7 |
QUICKI, Q1 | Q2-4 | 1.5 (1.3–1.7) | < 0.001 | 1.2 (1.04–1.4) | 0.01 | 1.8 (1.5–2.2 | < 0.001 | 1.2 (0.9–1.5) | 0.09 |
MCAi, Q1 | Q2-4 | 1.3 (1.1–1.5) | < 0.001 | 1.2 (1.02–1.3) | 0.03 | 1.6 (1.3–2.03) | < 0.001 | 1.4 (1.1–1.8) | 0.01 |
MCAi | 1-unit increment | 0.8 (1.8–0.9) | < 0.001 | 0.9 (0.8–0.97) | 0.06 | 0.7 (0.6–0.8) | < 0.001 | 0.8 (0.7–0.96) | 0.002 |
Fasting Insulin, Q4 | Q1-3 | 1.2 (1.1–1.4) | 0.003 | 1.1 (0.95–1.2) | 0.2 | 1.3 (1.05–1.6) | 0.02 | 1.1 (0.9–1.4) | 0.4 |
Fasting Glucose, Q4 | Q1-3 | 1.9 (1.7–2.2) | < 0.001 | 1.3 (1.2–1.5) | < 0.001 | 2.6 (2.1–3.2) | < 0.001 | 1.5 (1.2–1.9) | 0.001 |
Triglycerides | 1- mg/dl increment | 1.0 (1.0–1.001) | 0.003 | 1.0 (1.0–1.001) | 0.5 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 0.001 | 1.0 (0.99–1.0) | 0.9 |
MISI Matsuda Insulin Sensitivity Index, HOMA-IR Homeostatic model assessment -Insulin resistance, HOMA-%B Homeostatic model assessment–percent beta cell function; QUICKI Quantitative Insulin Sensitivity Check Index; MCAi Mcauley index
aMultivariable models were adjusted to the MCAi and not the other insulin sensitivity indices; bBMI categories: Normal < 25 kg/m2, Overweight, 25–29.9 kg/m2; Obese-BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2; cTotal cholesterol classification: Normal < 200 mg/dl, Borderline-high, 200–239 mg/dl, High ≥ 240 mg/dl