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. 2021 May 7;100(18):e25837. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000025837

Table 1.

R0 estimates for cities and provinces within China.

Author Location Estimation period Methods R0 95% CI
Li JH[7] Wuhan January 10–23, 2020 EGR 5.54 5.07–6.06
Liu T[8] Wuhan By February 7, 2020 EGR 4.40 4.30–4.60
Liu T[8] China By February 7, 2020 EGR 4.50 4.40–4.60
Sanche S[9] Wuhan January 15–30, 2020 EGR 5.70 3.80–8.90
Song QQ[10] China January 15–31, 2020 EGR 3.74 3.63–3.87
Wang Y[5] China Jan 17 to February 8, 2020 EGR 3.49 3.42–3.58
Zhao QY[11] Wuhan By January 23, 2020 EGR 5.70 3.40–9.20
Zhao S[12] China January 10–24, 2020 EGR 2.24 1.96–2.55
Zhao S[12] China January 10–24, 2020 EGR 3.58 2.89–4.39
Zhao S[13] Wuhan January 1–15, 2020 EGR 2.56 2.49–2.63
Li JH 7 Wuhan January 10–23, 2020 SEIR 3.55 2.97–4.21
Read J[14] China January 1–22, 2020 SEIR 3.11 2.39–4.13
Shen MW[15] China December 12, 2019 to January 22, 2020 SEIR 4.71 4.50–4.92
Song QQ[10] China January 15–31, 2020 SEIR 3.91 3.71–4.11
Tang B[16] China By January 22, 2020 SEIR 6.47 5.71–7.23
Zhou T[17] China By 25 January, 2020 SEIR 2.80–3.30 (3.05) /
Zhou WK[18] China By January 10, 2020 SEIR 5.32 /
Cao ZD[19] China By January 23, 2020 SEIRDC 4.08
Chen TM[20] Wuhan December 7, 2019 to January 1, 2020 SEIAR 3.58 /
LI Y[21] China By January 23, 2020 SEIQR 5.60 /
Li JH[7] Wuhan January 10–23, 2020 MLE 2.65 2.64–2.67
Song QQ[10] China January 15–31, 2020 MLE 3.16 2.90–3.43
Tang B[22] China January 1–23, 2020 MLE 3.80 3.50–4.20
Tang B[22] Guangdong January 19–31, 2020 MLE 3.00 2.60–3.30
Wang Y[5] China January 17 to February 8, 2020 MLE 2.99 2.93–3.06
Jung SM[23] China By January 24, 2020 Epidemic growth model 2.10 2.00–2.20
Jung SM[23] China By January 24, 2020 Epidemic growth model 3.20 2.70–3.70
Li JH[7] Wuhan January 10–23, 2020 Sequential Bayesian method 1.68 1.09–2.33
Wang Y[5] China January 17 to February 8, 2020 Sequential Bayesian method 2.80 2.42–3.15
Li JH[7] Wuhan January 10–23, 2020 Time dependent reproduction number 5.95 4.96–7.03
Wang Y[5] China January 17 to February 8, 2020 Time dependent reproduction number 4.48 4.26–4.71
Cao ZD[24] Wuhan By January 23, 2020 Geo-stratified debiasing estimation framework 3.24 /
Chinazzi M[25] China By January 23, 2020 GLEAM and SLIR 2.57 2.37–2.78 (90% CI)
Li Q[26] China By January 22, 2020 Fitted transmission model with zoonotic infection 2.20 1.40–3.90
Du ZW[27] Wuhan By January 22, 2020 Hierarchical model 1.90 1.47–2.59
Imai N[28] China By January 18, 2020 Mathematical model 1.50–3.50 /
Majumder M[29] Wuhan December 8, 2019 to January 26, 2020 Incidence Decay and Exponential Adjustment (IDEA) model 2.00–3.10 (2.50) /
Wu J[30] Wuhan December 31, 2019 to January 28, 2020 Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods 2.68 2.47–2.86
Riou J[31] China By January 18, 2020 Stochastic simulations of early outbreak trajectories 2.20 1.40–3.80 (90% HDI)

CI = confidence interval, EGR = exponential growth rate, GLEAM = global epidemic and mobility model, HDI = high-density interval, MLE = maximum likelihood estimation, SEIAR = susceptible, exposed symptomatic, infectious asymptomatic, infectious removed, SEIQR = susceptible, exposed, infected but not hospitalized, infectious and isolated recovered, SEIR = susceptible-exposed-infected-removed, SEIRDC = SEIR with death cumulative, SLIR = susceptible latent infectious recovered.