Figure 2:

Estimates of population-level HIV viral suppression at the time of annual testing in the intervention arm of the SEARCH trial. Estimates were obtained with the empirical mean among those measured (“Unadjusted”), stratifying on sex, age group and community (“Baseline adjustment”), and using targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) with Super Learner to adjust for both baseline and time-varying characteristics (“Time-varying adjustment”). Horizontal dashed line at 73% suppression indicates UNAIDS target; vertical lines indicate 95% confidence intervals.