Table 3.
Risk scores for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma in treated chronic hepatitis B patients during treatment
Ref.
|
Score
|
Patients in derivation, n
|
Country or area
|
Age (yr)
|
HBeAg-positive, n (%)
|
Cirrhosis in derivation, n (%)
|
Follow-up (yr), median
|
Variables of the risk score
|
AUROC for 5 yr
|
Cut-off
|
Chen et al[54] | APA-B | 883 | Taiwan | 50 ± 17 | 311 (35.2) | 317 (35.9) | 4.1 | Age, platelets, AFP at 12 mo | 0.827 | Low-risk 0-5; Intermediate risk 6-9; High risk 10-15 |
Lim et al[56] | HCC-ESCAVT | 769 | South Korea | 47.0 (37.0-55.0) | 0 | 319 (41.5) | - | Sex, age, cirrhosis, ALT, AST, platelet | 0.771 | Low-risk 0-1; Intermediate risk 2-4; High risk 5 |
Papatheodoridis et al[58] | CAGE-B | 1427 | Europe | 52.1 ± 13.1 | 261 (18.4) | 370 (25.9) | 8.4 | Age, LSM at year 5, baseline cirrhosis | 0.814 | Low-risk 0-5; Intermediate risk 6-10; High risk 11-16 |
Papatheodoridis et al[58] | SAGE-B | 1427 | Europe | 52.1 ± 13.1 | 261 (18.4) | 370 (25.9) | 8.4 | Age, LSM at year 5 | 0.809 | Low-risk 0-5; Intermediate risk 6-10; High risk 11-16 |
HBeAg: Hepatitis B e antigen; AUROC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; HCC: Hepatocellular carcinoma; ESC: Hepatitis B e antigen seroclearance; AVT: Antiviral therapy; CAGE-B: Cirrhosis and age; SAGE-B: Stiffness and age; AFP: α-Fetoprotein; ALT: Alanine aminotransferase; AST: Aspartate aminotransferase; LSM: Liver stiffness measurement.