Table II.
Estimated CHD Events Predicted Over 10 Years in Patients With HTN (Without Prior CVD), Before and After Controlling Blood Pressure Only
| Weighted Population | Uncontrolled Population | Controlled to Nominal a | No. Estimated Events Prevented | Controlled to Optimal b | No. Estimated Events Prevented | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHD Risk | Events | CHD Risk (Events) | Events | PAR, % | CHD Risk (Events) | Events | PAR, % | ||
| Overall | 26,058,333 | 0.1043 | 2,717,337 | 0.0845 (2,201,054) | 516,283 | 19.00 | 0.0653 (1,701,401) | 1,015,936 | 37.39 |
| Age | |||||||||
| Men | |||||||||
| 30–39 y | 2,001,594 | 0.0907 | 181,597 | 0.0732 (146,603) | 34,993 | 19.27 | 0.0578 (115,762) | 65,835 | 36.25 |
| 40–49 y | 3,881,388 | 0.1162 | 451,156 | 0.0937 (363,726) | 87,430 | 19.38 | 0.0731 (283,886) | 167,270 | 37.08 |
| 50–59 y | 2,952,769 | 0.1769 | 522,376 | 0.1445 (426,535) | 95,841 | 18.35 | 0.1189 (351,217) | 171,160 | 32.77 |
| 60–74 y | 3,131,783 | 0.2676 | 838,061 | 0.2192 (686,521) | 151,541 | 18.08 | 0.1830 (573,158) | 264,903 | 31.61 |
| Total | 11,967,534 | 0.1665 | 1,993,190 | 0.1356 (1,623,385) | 369,805 | 18.55 | 0.1106 (1,324,023) | 669,167 | 33.57 |
| Women | |||||||||
| 30–39 y | 1,637,147 | 0.0110 | 18,061 | 0.0096 (15,686) | 2,375 | 13.15 | 0.0067(11,009) | 7,052 | 39.04 |
| 40–49 y | 3,252,147 | 0.0321 | 104,505 | 0.0267 (86,901) | 17,604 | 16.85 | 0.0182 (59,045) | 45,460 | 43.50 |
| 50–59 y | 4,158,872 | 0.0619 | 257,435 | 0.0506 (210,476) | 46,959 | 18.24 | 0.0331 (137,470) | 119,966 | 46.60 |
| 60–74 y | 5,042,634 | 0.0682 | 344,144 | 0.0525 (264,606) | 79,537 | 23.11 | 0.0337 (169,853) | 174,291 | 50.64 |
| Total | 14,090,800 | 0.0514 | 724,146 | 0.0410 (577,669) | 146,477 | 20.23 | 0.0268 (377,377) | 346,769 | 47.89 |
| Race | |||||||||
| Hispanic | 2,463,935 | 0.1067 | 262,806 | 0.0850 (209,395) | 53,411 | 20.32 | 0.0689 (169,748) | 93,057 | 35.41 |
| Non‐Hispanic white | 18,678,242 | 0.1067 | 1,993,693 | 0.0869 (1,623,221) | 370,472 | 18.58 | 0.0670 (1,252,230) | 741,463 | 37.19 |
| Non‐Hispanic black | 3,478,518 | 0.0937 | 326,006 | 0.0757 (263,296) | 62,710 | 19.24 | 0.0569 (198,068) | 127,939 | 39.24 |
| Disease groupc | |||||||||
| HTN Uncomplicated | 2,747,825 | 0.0333 | 91,529 | 0.0266(73,155) | 18,374 | 20.07 | 0.0190 (52,302) | 39,227 | 42.86 |
| HTN Moderate risk | 17,005,024 | 0.1018 | 1,730,433 | 0.0828 (1,407,950) | 322,483 | 18.64 | 0.0618 (1,051,679) | 678,754 | 39.22 |
| HTN Complicated | 6,305,483 | 0.1420 | 895,374 | 0.1142(719,950) | 175,424 | 19.59 | 0.0947 (597,419) | 297,955 | 33.28 |
| aNominal control defined as blood pressure <l40/90 mm Hg (or <130/80 mm Hg if comorbid diabetes mellitus [DM] is present). bOptimal control defined as blood pressure <120/80 mm Hg. cSee text for definitions. Abbreviations: CHD, coronary heart disease; HTN, hypertension; CVD, cardiovascular disease; PAR, percent of attributable risk. | |||||||||