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. 2021 May 11;22:174. doi: 10.1186/s12882-021-02387-x

Table 3.

Access to kidney replacement therapy

2016 (n = 63) 2017 (n = 101) 2018 (n = 103) p-value Total (%, 95 % CI) (n = 267) p-value
ESKD incidence rate, pmp (95 % CI) 26.7 (20.0–33.4) 41.4 (33.2–49.6) 41.6 (33.4–49.8)

0.006a

0.005b

110.1 (96.6–123.6)
Accepted for dialysis, n (%) 19/63 (30.2 %; 20.0–42.8 %) 28/101 (27.7 %; 19.8–37.3 %)) 35/103 (34.0 %; 25.4–43.7 %)) 0.622 82/267 (30.7 %; 25.4–36.5 %))
KRT incidence, pmp (95 % CI) 8.05 (4.98–11.1) 11.5 (7.83–15.1) 14.1 (10.3–18.0)

0.230a

0.045b

33.8 (27.7–39.9)
Age (years), median (IQR) 36 (32–48) 43 (35–50) 40 (31–48) 0.131 40 (33–49)
Hypertension, n (%) 27/63 (42.8) 50/101 (49.5) 36/103 (35.0) 0.109 113/267 (42.3, 36.5–48.4)
Diabetes, n (%) 13/63 (20.6) 21/101 (20.8) 17/103 (16.5) 0.693 51/267 (19.1, 14.8–24.3)
HIV, n (%) 13/63 (20.6) 30/101 (29.7) 33/103 (32.0) 0.270 76/267 (28.5, 23.4–34.2)
Serum creatinine (µmol/L), median (IQR) 807 (529–1050) 995.5 (708–1050) 883 (650–1184) 0.033 890 (670–1210)
Reason for exclusion from KRT programme
  Concomitant organ dysfunction, n (%) 25/44 (56.8) 45/73 (61.6) 39/68 (57.4) 0.830 109/185 (58.9; 51.6–65.8) Reference
     Cardiac disease, n (%) 9/44 (20.4) 16/73 (21.9) 22/68 (32.4) 0.250 47/185 (25.4;19.6–32.2) Reference
     Vascular disease, n (%) 7/44 (20.4) 8/73 (23.3) 12/68 (16.2) 0.511 27/185 (14.6; 10.2–20.5) 0.009
     Pulmonary hypertension, n (%) 9/44 (20.4) 17/73 (23.3) 11/68 (16.2) 0.571 37/185 (20.0; 14.8–26.4) 0.215
     Lung disease, n (%) 1/44 (2.3) 5/73 (6.8) 2/68 (2.9) 0.467 8/185 (4.3; 2.2–8.4) < 0.001
  Noncompliance, n (%) 4/44 (9.1) 2/73 (2.7) 4/68 (5.9) 0.286 10/185 (5.4; 2.9–9.8) < 0.001
  Psychosocial, n (%) 2/44 (4.6) 2/73 (2.7) 4/68 (5.9) 0.660 8/185 (4.3; 2.2–8.4) < 0.001
  Substance abuse, n (%) 2/44 (4.6) 4/73 (5.5) 1/68 (1.5) 0.483 7/185 (3.8; 1.8–7.8) < 0.001
  Diabetes and age ≥ 50 years, n (%) 3/44 (6.8) 9/73 (12.3) 2/68 (2.9) 0.124 14/185 (7.6; 4.5–12.4) < 0.001
  Uncontrolled HIVc, n (%) 3/44 (6.8) 9/73 (12.3) 9/68 (13.2) 0.610 21/185 (11.4; 7.5–16.8) < 0.001
  Age ≥ 60 years, n (%) 4/44 (9.1) 7/73 (9.6) 6/68 (8.8) 1.000 17/185 (9.2; 5.8–14.3) < 0.001
  BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2, n (%) 3/44 (6.8) 3/73 (4.1) 7/68 (10.3) 0.357 13/185 (7.0; 4.1–11.8) < 0.001
  Other, n (%) 2/44 (4.6) 3/73 (4.1) 4/68 (5.9) 0.910 9/185 (4.9; 2.5–9.1) < 0.001

BMI body mass index; CI confidence interval; ESKD end-stage kidney disease; HIV human immunodeficiency virus; IQR interquartile range; pmp per-million-population; KRT kidney replacement therapy

aComparison of 2016 and 2017 incidence rates

bComparison of 2016 and 2018 incidence rates

cUncontrolled HIV refers to unsuppressed viral load