Table 2.
RADS incidence risk for various groupings of cancer incidence risks, in percent, calculated for different attained ages for an exposure to 1 Gy organ dose at age 40 years
| Attained age (years) | 65 | 70 | 75 | 80 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Males | Females | Males | Females | Males | Females | Males | Females | |
| Mixed ERR and EAR | ||||||||
| All solid cancer | 3.1 (2.5; 3.9) | 4.9 (4.1; 5.9) | 4.5 (3.6; 5.6) | 6.5 (5.4; 7.8) | 6.1 (4.9; 7.6) | 8.2 (6.9; 9.8) | 7.8 (6.3; 9.7) | 10.1 (8.5; 12.0) |
| Leukemia | 0.8 (0.1; 1.5) | 0.5 (0.1; 1.0) | 0.9 (0.2; 1.8) | 0.6 (0.1; 1.2) | 1.1 (0.2; 2.1) | 0.7 (0.1; 1.4) | 1.3 (0.2; 2.4) | 0.8 (0.1; 1.5) |
| Lung | 0.5 (0.2; 0.7) | 0.8 (0.5; 1.3) | 0.7 (0.4; 1.1) | 1.2 (0.8; 1.7) | 1.0 (0.5; 1.5) | 1.5 (1.1; 2.2) | 1.3 (0.7; 2.0) | 2.0 (1.4; 2.7) |
| Lung adjusted (NS) | 0.3 (0.1; 0.5) | 0.4 (0.2; 0.5) | 0.4 (0.2; 0.7) | 0.5 (0.4; 0.8) | 0.6 (0.3; 1.0) | 0.8 (0.5; 1.1) | 0.8 (0.4; 1.4) | 1.1 (0.8; 1.5) |
| Breast | – | 0.5 (0.3; 0.8) | – | 0.6 (0.4; 1.0) | – | 0.8 (0.5; 1.3) | – | 1.0 (0.6; 1.6) |
| ERR (w = 1) | ||||||||
| All solid cancer | 3.9 (2.8; 5.2) | 6.7 (5.2; 8.6) | 5.8 (4.2; 7.7) | 8.8 (6.8; 11.1) | 7.9 (5.8; 10.5) | 10.8 (8.4; 13.6) | 10.2 (7.5; 13.3) | 12.9 (10.1; 16.1) |
| Leukemia | 1.0 (− 0.2; 2.4) | 0.7 (− 0.1; 1.7) | 1.2 (− 0.2; 2.8) | 0.8 (− 0.2; 1.9) | 1.5 (− 0.3; 3.3) | 0.9 (− 0.2; 2.2) | 1.8 (− 0.3; 3.8) | 1.1 (− 0.2; 2.5) |
| Lung | 0.8 (0.3; 1.5) | 1.8 (1.0; 3.2) | 1.1 (0.4; 2.1) | 2.4 (1.4; 4.1) | 1.5 (0.6; 2.7) | 3.1 (1.8; 4.9) | 1.9 (0.8; 3.4) | 3.6 (2.3; 5.7) |
| Lung adjusted (NS) | 0.1 (0.03; 0.2) | 0.2 (0.1; 0.4) | 0.1 (0.05; 0.3) | 0.4 (0.2; 0.6) | 0.2 (0.1; 0.4) | 0.6 (0.3; 0.9) | 0.3 (0.1; 0.6) | 0.8 (0.5; 1.2) |
| Breast | – | 5.0 (2.6; 8.6) | – | 6.0 (3.2; 10.1) | – | 6.7 (3.6; 11.1) | – | 7.4 (3.9; 12.0) |
| EAR (w = 0) | ||||||||
| All solid cancer | 2.3 (1.7; 3.1) | 3.1 (2.4; 3.9) | 3.2 (2.3; 4.3) | 4.2 (3.3; 5.3) | 4.2 (3.0; 5.6) | 5.6 (4.4; 6.9) | 5.4 (3.9; 7.2) | 7.1 (5.6; 8.8) |
| Leukemia | 0.6 (− 0.01; 1.1) | 0.4 (0; 0.8) | 0.7 (− 0.01; 1.3) | 0.4 (0; 0.9) | 0.7 (− 0.01; 1.4) | 0.5 (0.0; 1.0) | 0.8 (− 0.01; 1.6) | 0.5 (0.0; 1.1) |
| Lung | 0.3 (0.1; 0.6) | 0.4 (0.2; 0.7) | 0.5 (0.2; 0.9) | 0.6 (0.4; 0.9) | 0.7 (0.3; 1.3) | 0.9 (0.6; 1.3) | 1.0 (0.4; 1.8) | 1.3 (0.8; 1.8) |
| Lung adjusted (NS) | 0.3 (0.1; 0.6) | 0.4 (0.2; 0.7) | 0.5 (0.2; 0.9) | 0.6 (0.4; 0.9) | 0.7 (0.3; 1.3) | 0.9 (0.6; 1.3) | 1.0 (0.4; 1.8) | 1.3 (0.8; 1.8) |
| Breast | – | 0.5 (0.3; 0.8) | – | 0.6 (0.4; 1.0) | – | 0.8 (0.5; 1.3) | – | 1.0 (0.6; 1.6) |
The weights, w, for the mixed ERR and EAR (ERR: EAR) are: all solid cancer (0.5: 0.5), leukemia (0.5: 0.5), lung and lung adjusted for non-smoking (NS) (0.3: 0.7), breast (0: 1)