TABLE 1.
Methoda and vaccine strain | Correlation | Correlation coefficient at the following lag time (wk)b: |
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−7 | −6 | −5 | −4 | −3 | −2 | −1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||
Method a | ||||||||||||||||
Wild-type | Sewage- oysters |
0.31 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.37 | −0.03 |
Patients- oysters |
0.01 | −0.18 | 0.07 | −0.39 | −0.13 | −0.26 | −0.53 | −0.30 | −0.47 | 0.01 | 0.03 | −0.18 | −0.28 | −0.39 | −0.22 | |
Patients- sewage |
0.29 | 0.45 | 0.37 | −0.09 | 0.06 | −0.10 | 0.06 | −0.29 | −0.27 | −0.39 | −0.03 | −0.21 | −0.20 | 0.06 | 0.08 | |
RotaTeq | Sewage- oysters |
−0.01 | −0.33 | 0.45 | 0.13 | −0.13 | −0.01 | −0.35 | −0.25 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 0.20 | −0.12 | −0.06 | 0.13 | 0.32 |
Patients- oysters |
−0.36 | −0.34 | −0.19 | −0.35 | −0.15 | −0.29 | −0.28 | −0.35 | −0.49 | −0.31 | −0.47 | −0.26 | −0.49 | −0.39 | −0.26 | |
Patients- sewage |
0.04 | 0.34 | −0.03 | −0.23 | −0.18 | −0.42 | 0.08 | −0.17 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.09 | −0.01 | 0.35 | 0.33 | |
Method b | ||||||||||||||||
Wild-type | Sewage- oysters |
0.24 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 0.02 | −0.18 | −0.33 | −0.20 |
Patients- oysters |
0.18 | 0.16 | 0.16 | −0.01 | 0.06 | −0.03 | −0.07 | −0.02 | −0.24 | −0.10 | −0.23 | −0.29 | −0.22 | −0.38 | −0.44 | |
Patients- sewage |
−0.05 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.13 | −0.06 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.36 | |
RotaTeq | Sewage- oysters |
−0.21 | −0.46 | −0.27 | −0.22 | −0.30 | −0.23 | −0.33 | −0.17 | 0.03 | 0.02 | −0.04 | −0.07 | −0.17 | −0.12 | −0.23 |
Patients- oysters |
−0.23 | −0.31 | −0.31 | −0.31 | −0.31 | −0.45 | −0.33 | −0.34 | −0.42 | −0.29 | −0.32 | −0.24 | −0.26 | −0.23 | −0.28 | |
Patients- sewage |
0.10 | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.55 |
Method a used only paired positive samples of oysters and sewage, and method b used all of the samples with negative data substituted with half of the limit of detection (LOD).
Correlation coefficients between rotavirus concentrations in sewage and oysters and between the number of rotavirus-associated gastroenteritis cases and virus concentrations in oysters or sewage calculated by methods a and b at various time points. The time points are 1 to 7 weeks before (−1 to −7 weeks) or after (+1 to +7 weeks) the day of oyster collection. Statistically significant correlations (P < 0.05) are indicated by boldface values.