. 2021 May 14;16(5):e0251373. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0251373

Table 5. Contagion channels.

			Geographic Spillovers			Decreasing			Sectoral
	Elderly	Hospital	Relative	Absolute	Residents	Effectiveness			Decompos.
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)	(7)	(8)	(9)
d11_t × Shutd11_m	-0.0342^***	-0.0826^***	-0.0284^***	-0.020^**	-0.019^**	-0.127^***		-0.0673^***
d11_t × Shutd11_m	(-4.52)	(-4.43)	(-3.47)	(-2.46)	(-2.33)	(-3.84)		(-4.93)
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Hospit_p		0.261^***
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Hospit_p		(2.60)
d11_t × Shutd11_n			-0.0276^**	-0.109^***	-0.122^***
d11_t × Shutd11_n			(-2.31)	(-5.74)	(-6.08)
d11_t × $S h u t d 11_{m}^{2}$						0.0023^***
d11_t × $S h u t d 11_{m}^{2}$						(2.97)
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Q1_m							-0.085^***
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Q1_m							(-4.31)
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Q2_m							-0.071^***
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Q2_m							(-3.34)
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Q3_m							-0.007
d11_t × Shutd11_m × Q3_m							(-0.41)
d11_t × Food11_m									-0.0049
d11_t × Food11_m									(-0.46)
d11_t × Retail11_m									-0.0681^***
d11_t × Retail11_m									(-3.97)
d11_t × Personal11_m									-0.0682^**
d11_t × Personal11_m									(-2.02)
d25_t × Shutd25_m	-0.00495	-0.00534	-0.00397	0.00081	0.00011	-0.00652	-0.0069	-0.0095^**	-0.00613
d25_t × Shutd25_m	(-0.95)	(-1.08)	(-0.79)	(0.19)	(0.04)	(-1.31)	(-1.41)	(-1.99)	(-1.24)
y_m,t−1	0.0383^***	0.0366^***	0.0366^***	0.0329^***	0.0330^***	0.0355^***	0.367^***	0.0306^***	0.0366^***
y_m,t−1	(4.16)	(4.07)	(3.91)	(3.68)	(3.71)	(4.06)	(4.05)	(2.83)	(4.06)
Interaction Controls	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓
Municipality FE	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓
ArrDay × Time FE	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓
Obs.	99,466	100,563	96,853	98,729	98,713	100,563	100,563	67,363	100,563
R²	0.267	0.270	0.270	0.272	0.231	0.270	0.269	0.270	0.270
Adj. R²	0.226	0.229	0.229	0.272	0.231	0.229	0.223	0.217	0.229

This table presents results on contagion channels, returns to scale, and other extensions. Hospit_p measures the degree of hospitalization per capita in province p. In columns 3, 4 and 5, Shutd11_n are the 1^st policy exposures of the largest hit municipality within p in relative, absolute and population terms. Q1 − Q3 are Shutd11_m tercile dummy variables. The sample in column (8) includes the first two terciles of Shutd11_m. Food11_m, Retail11_m and Personal11_m are the exposures of m to the food, retail, and personal services, respectively. Interactions of d11_t with PopDens_m, IncIneq_m, and IntMob_m are included throughout but suppressed for brevity; likewise for pairwise interaction terms in column (2) and (7). t-stats in parentheses. S.E. clustered at municipality- and day-level.

*, ** and *** are significance at the 10%, 5% and, 1% level. Variable definitions are in S1 Table.