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. 2021 Apr 30;10:e62825. doi: 10.7554/eLife.62825

Table 2. Relations of confidence with the precision of prediction and the precision of performance and changes across blocks.

Confidence
Predictors Estimates SE CI t p
(Intercept) 0.26 0.04 0.18–0.33 6.35 2.187e-10
Block 0.05 0.02 0.02–0.08 3.05 2.257e-03
Sensory Prediction Error (SPE) −0.44 0.04 −0.52 – −0.36 −10.84 2.289e-27
Error Magnitude (EM) 0.17 0.05 0.08–0.27 3.73 1.910e-04
Block: SPE −0.08 0.04 −0.15 – −0.00 −1.99 4.642e-02
Block: EM 0.15 0.05 0.05–0.25 3.07 2.167e-03
Random effects Model Parameters
 Residuals 0.12 N 40
 Intercept 0.06 Observations 9996
 SPE 0.03 log-Likelihood −3640.142
 Error Magnitude 0.06 Deviance 7280.284
 Block 0.01
 Error Magnitude: Block 0.04

Formula: Confidence ~ (SPE +Error Magnitude)*Block+(SPE +Error Magnitude *Block|participant); Note: ‘:” indicates interactions between predictors.