Table 2.
Predicted and preventable number (#) and proportions (%) of lung cancer cases by highest-level implementation of tobacco control policies over a 20-year period (2018–2037) and in 2037 in Europe by sex.
| Region/Country | Predicted lung cancer cases in 2018–2037 |
Preventable lung cancer cases in 2018–2037 |
Preventable lung cancer cases in 2037 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Men | Women | Men | Women | Men | Women | |
| # | # | # (%) | # (%) | # (%) | # (%) | |
| Europe | 4718,000 | 3095,000 | 935,000 (19·8) | 718,000 (23·2) | 83,000 (34·2) | 66,000 (38·9) |
| Eastern Europe | 742,000 | 400,000 | 154,000 (20·7) | 103,000 (25·7) | 13,000 (37·7) | 9000 (44·1) |
| Bulgaria | 58,400 | 17,600 | 12,600 (21·6) | 4700 (26·8) | 1000 (40·0) | 400 (46·4) |
| Czech Republic | 77,700 | 54,800 | 19,300 (24·8) | 16,800 (30·6) | 1600 (45·3) | 1500 (52·6) |
| Hungary | 116,400 | 102,900 | 22,500 (19·3) | 24,600 (23·9) | 1800 (35·4) | 2100 (41·2) |
| Poland | 282,700 | 141,100 | 59,000 (20·9) | 36,000 (25·5) | 5000 (37·7) | 3100 (43·9) |
| Romania | 165,300 | 62,100 | 30,000 (18·1) | 13,900 (22·4) | 2400 (33·1) | 1200 (38·4) |
| Slovakia | 41,600 | 21,900 | 10,600 (25·5) | 6700 (30·8) | 900 (44·4) | 600 (51·6) |
| Southern Europe | 1264,000 | 678,000 | 271,000 (21·5) | 177,000 (26·1) | 24,000 (37·0) | 17,000 (42·8) |
| Cyprus | 12,100 | 3400 | 3200 (26·8) | 1100 (30·6) | 300 (42·2) | 100 (48·9) |
| Greece | 142,500 | 52,800 | 37,700 (26·4) | 17,100 (32·4) | 3400 (45·3) | 1600 (52·6) |
| Italy | 551,600 | 365,700 | 116,300 (21·1) | 94,300 (25·8) | 10,400 (37·0) | 8800 (43·0) |
| Malta | 3100 | 3500 | 650 (21·0) | 1000 (27·6) | 50 (37·0) | 100 (42·6) |
| Portugal | 77,700 | 30,900 | 17,200 (22·1) | 8200 (26·4) | 1600 (37·7) | 800 (43·8) |
| Slovenia | 14,800 | 10,500 | 3600 (24·0) | 3100 (29·1) | 300 (43·1) | 300 (49·9) |
| Spain | 462,600 | 211,200 | 92,700 (20·0) | 52,100 (24·6) | 8430 (34·0) | 5100 (39·5) |
| Western Europe | 1851,000 | 1196,000 | 409,000 (22·1) | 333,000 (27·2) | 37,000 (38·3) | 30,000 (45·6) |
| Austria | 66,800 | 53,400 | 19,100 (28·5) | 18,100 (33·9) | 1800 (48·4) | 1700 (56·1) |
| Belgium | 119,800 | 72,500 | 26,700 (22·3) | 19,400 (26·7) | 2400 (38·5) | 1700 (44·7) |
| France | 672,600 | 359,200 | 105,000 (15·6) | 68,300 (19·0) | 9200 (27·1) | 6400 (31·5) |
| Germany | 749,900 | 543,400 | 205,200 (27·4) | 178,200 (32·8) | 18,500 (47·5) | 16,100 (55·2) |
| Luxembourg | 4300 | 2900 | 1200 (27·9) | 1000 (33·2) | 100 (47·4) | < 100 (55·0) |
| Netherlands | 178,900 | 143,400 | 37,600 (21·0) | 34,300 (23·9) | 3500 (35·5) | 3000 (41·2) |
| Switzerland | 58,200 | 50,300 | 13,800 (23·7) | 14,100 (28·0) | 1200 (40·8) | 1300 (47·3) |
| Northern Europe | 861,000 | 791,000 | 101,000 (11·8) | 106,000 (13·4) | 9000 (19·6) | 10,000 (22·4) |
| Denmark | 52,700 | 55,000 | 12,600 (23·9) | 15,200 (27·6) | 1100 (41·6) | 1300 (48·3) |
| Estonia | 10,000 | 4600 | 2200 (22·4) | 1300 (27·5) | 200 (40·7) | 100 (47·4) |
| Finland | 38,000 | 26,500 | 6600 (17·4) | 5600 (21·0) | 600 (30·2) | 500 (35·2) |
| Iceland | 1500 | 2400 | 200 (13·6) | 400 (16·1) | < 100 (23·4) | < 100 (27·2) |
| Ireland | 38,600 | 35,600 | 5400 (13·9) | 5800 (16·4) | 500 (22·6) | 600 (26·3) |
| Latvia | 14,500 | 4700 | 3200 (22·3) | 1300 (28·1) | 300 (42·2) | 100 (49·0) |
| Lithuania | 19,000 | 6900 | 4400 (23·3) | 2000 (29·5) | 400 (43·0) | 200 (50·0) |
| Norway | 40,600 | 35,900 | 6700 (16·5) | 6800 (18·9) | 600 (27·9) | 600 (32·5) |
| Sweden | 41,200 | 46,100 | 8200 (19·9) | 10,600 (23·0) | 700 (35·5) | 900 (41·2) |
| United Kingdom | 605,000 | 573,500 | 51,900 (8·6) | 56,800 (9·9) | 4900 (14·4) | 5200 (16·7) |