Skip to main content
. 2021 May 12;13:3867–3878. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S301185

Table 5.

Summary of Risk Prediction Models for CRC and ACN

Author (Year) Country Outcome Risk Factors Data Source (Sample Size) AUC
Betes 200329 Spain ACN Age, gender, BMI Hospital-based (2210) 0.67
Cai 201220 China ACN+CRC Age, gender, smoking, diabetes mellitus, green vegetables, pickled food, fried food, white meat Hospital-based (7541) 0.74
Chen 201431 China ACN Age, gender, history of coronary heart disease, egg intake, defaecation frequency Hospital-based (905) 0.75
Li 201827 China CRC Age, sex, education level, occupations, diarrhea, constipation, colon mucosa and bleeding, gallbladder disease, a stressful life event, family history and a qualitative FIT Population based (891,199) considers the history of clinical symptoms and signs of bowel disease together with the FIT results 0.84
Kaminski 201432 Poland ACN Age, gender, BMI, smoking, number and age affected of first degree relatives with CRC Cross-sectional analysis (35,918) 0.64
Stegeman 201433 Netherlands ACN Age, smoking, first degree relative with CRC, FIT, calcium intake Population-based (6600) 0.76
Tao 201422 Germany ACN Age, gender, smoking, first-degree relative with CRC, alcohol, previous polyp, red meat consumption, NSAIDS, previous colonoscopy Population-based (7891) 0.67
Tao 201422 Germany CRC Age, gender, smoking, first-degree relative with CRC, alcohol, previous polyp, red meat consumption, NSAIDS, previous colonoscopy Population-based (7891) 0.71
Yeoh 201130 Asia ACN Age, gender, smoking, first degree relative with CRC Hospital-based (2752) 0.66
Driver 200716 USA CRC Age, BMI, history of smoking, weekly or daily alcohol use Population-based (21,581 male) 0.7
Ma 200817 Japan CRC Age, BMI, smoking, physical activity, alcohol Population-based (28,115 male) 0.7
Taylor 201118 USA CRC Age, first, second and third degree relatives with CRC Population-based (431,153) 0.67
Yarnall 201319 UK CRC BMI, smoking, alcohol, fibre intake, red meat intake, physical activity, 14 SNPs META 0.63
Auge 201434 Spain ACN Age, sex and categorized FIT results Retrospective (3109) 0.67
Cooper 201725 UK CRC+ ACN Age, sex, first time invite, previous non-responder, previous responder and quantitative FIT result Population based (40,930) 0.68
Aniwan 201523 Thailand CRC Age, sex, family history and smoking status as APCS risk score and a qualitative FIT Hospital-based (948) 0.85
Aniwan 201523 Thailand ACN Age, sex, family history and smoking status as APCS risk score and a qualitative FIT Hospital-based (948) 0.67
Dunlop 201321 CRC Family history of CRC and 10 common genetic variants Population-based (42,103) 0.56
Hsu 201524 USA and Germany CRC Family history of CRC and 27 common genetic variants, endoscopy history Population-based (12,000) 0.59 for men; 0.56 for women
Ibáñez-Sanz 201726 Spain CRC Family history of CRC,alcohol consumption, obesity, physical activity, red meat and vegetable consumption, and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use, 21 SNPs Population-based (4080) 0.63
Joen 201828 USA CRC Family history of CRC, 19 lifestyle and environmental factors, 63 CRC-associated SNPs Population-based (20,338) 0.63 for men; 0.62 for women

Abbreviations: CRC, colorectal cancer; ACN, advanced colorectal neoplasm; FIT, faecal immunochemical test; NSAIDS, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use; BMI, body mass index; SNP, single nucleotide polymorphism; APCS, Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening Scoring System.