Table 4. National shortfall for dentists and dental specialists based on three scenarios (up to 2030).
| Provinces | Scenario 1—Best Guess | Scenario 2—Optimistic | Scenario 3—Aspirational | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | 2018 | 2024 | 2030 | 2018 | 2024 | 2030 | 2018 | 2024 | 2030 |
| Gauteng | 201 | 551 | 815 | 201 | 551 | 815 | 201 | 551 | 815 |
| KwaZulu Natal | 15 | 104 | 192 | 15 | 104 | 192 | 15 | 104 | 192 |
| North West | 9 | 32 | 46 | 78 | 97 | 108 | 99 | 118 | 127 |
| Western Cape | 165 | 397 | 577 | 165 | 397 | 577 | 165 | 397 | 577 |
| Eastern Cape | 18 | 57 | 90 | 121 | 155 | 183 | 157 | 189 | 215 |
| Free State | 9 | 43 | 69 | 9 | 43 | 69 | 17 | 51 | 77 |
| Limpopo | 4 | 14 | 19 | 135 | 139 | 137 | 167 | 168 | 165 |
| Mpumalanga | 4 | 40 | 58 | 4 | 40 | 58 | 29 | 63 | 80 |
| Northern Cape | 4 | 14 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 19 |
| Total | 430 | 1252 | 1885 | 733 | 1540 | 2158 | 853 | 1655 | 2267 |